David Peterson will get the start for the Mets (68-78, 38-34 home) as they host the Reds (76-72, 40-33 away) at Citi Field. The Reds will give the starting nod to Hunter Greene. Check out my prediction for game one of this National League matchup between the Cincinnati Reds and New York Mets.

CINCINNATI REDS VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Cincinnati Reds -107

This game will be played at Citi Field at 7:10 ET on Friday, September 15th.

WHY BET THE CINCINNATI REDS:

  • Coming into the game, the Mets have gone just 2-3 in their last five home games.
  • As the favorite on the road, the Reds’ win streak currently stands at six games.
  • Opponents are hitting just .164 against Hunter Greene in his last three starts.

CINCINNATI REDS LOOK TO CONTINUE WINNING WAYS ON THE ROAD

Heading into the game, the Reds are 3rd in the NL Central on an overall record of 76-72. The team’s season-long road record is 40-33, which includes losing each of their past two road series. Against the runline, the Reds are 89-59 and have an over/under mark of 72-76. Their runline record on the road is 46-27 this year.

Hunter Greene will take the mound for the Reds today, boasting a 4-6 record. The righty has made 18 appearances this season, posting an ERA of 4.43 and a K/9 of 12.12. His FIP stands at 4.17 and his OBP is .319.

Hunter Greene earned a quality start and the win in his last outing against the Cardinals, as the Reds emerged victorious with a 7-1 scoreline. The right-hander surrendered just one run and one hit over six innings of work.

For the season, the Reds are 12th in batting average, hitting a combined .247. Over their last ten games, they have hit .255 which is 10th in that span. Cincinnati’s average of 4.7 runs per game puts them 10th in the league. In terms of home runs, they have gone deep 171 times and have a team slugging percentage of .412.

Spencer Steer is the Reds’ home-run king in 2023, having blasted 21 long balls and driven in 79 runs. His slugging percentage for the year is a solid .449.

WILL THE NEW YORK METS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?

On a record of 68-78, the Mets come into today’s game 4th in the NL East. When playing at home, they are 38-34 and 30-44 on the road. New York has played in 47 series thus far, and have gone 16-25-6.

David Peterson brings a 3-8 record and 5.34 ERA to the mound today. On the road, he has gone 1-6 with an ERA of 7.25 in 12 appearances, while at home he has earned a 2-2 record and 3.27 ERA. His season-long WHIP stands at 1.60, with opponents hitting .284 against him and slugging .458.

David Peterson’s last start ended in a loss for the Mets, as the left-hander surrendered three runs over six innings against the Twins. The defeat marked Peterson’s first of the 2023 season, as he had previously gone 4-0 with a 2.60 ERA in five starts.

Having gone deep 7 times in their last five games, the Mets are 5th in that span. At 4.4 runs per game, New York is 18th in the league. This figure has come on a team batting average of .239 while hitting a total of 195 home runs (9th).

Brandon Nimmo has been a consistent offensive threat for the Mets this season, boasting a .267 batting average and .460 slugging percentage. Over the last ten games, he has been especially impressive, leading the team in hits with a .328 batting average.