At 9:40 PM from Chase Field in Phoenix, we have an NL matchup between the Cubs and Diamondbacks. Heading into Monday’s game, the Cubs are 9-6, while the Diamondbacks are 8-8. Starting for the Cubs is Ben Brown, and he is facing off against Merrill Kelly for Arizona.

Arizona comes into this one as the favorite, with money line odds of -150, and the over/under line is at 9 runs. You can catch this one on MARQ.

CHICAGO CUBS VS ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Chicago Cubs Moneyline +126

This game will be played at Chase Field at 9:40 ET on Monday, April 15th.

HOW TO BET THE CUBS VS DIAMONDBACKS:

  • We have the Cubs winning by a score of 6 to 4
  • If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Cubs to cover
  • As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10 runs and like the over

Cubs Records & Stats

Heading into their last game vs. the Mariners, the Cubs closed out the series with a 3-2 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at +120 on the money line. It was a good start for the Cubs, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning and added another run in the 4th.

Javier Assad got the start for the Cubs, going 5 2/3 innings, and picked up the win. He gave up just two runs on four hits and issued only one walk. The Cubs’ offense was carried by Michael Busch, who went 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs.

As the Cubs are on the road today vs. the Diamondbacks, they are both looking for their 3rd straight win, as the Cubs picked up back-to-back wins in their final two games of their series with the Mariners. Currently, the Cubs are in 4th place in the NL Central, and they are 1.5 games behind the Brewers for the division lead.

So far, the Cubs have been good at home, putting together a record of 5-1. On the road, which is where they are today, they are just under .500 at 4-5. The Cubs have yet to play a game in their division so far this season.

Chicago has been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 10-5 overall. They have been even better on the road, where they are 6-3 ATS. The Cubs have covered the run line in their last two road games and are 3-1 ATS as the favorite this season.

Chicago’s over/under record is 8-7 this season, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. Their games have averaged 10.1 runs per game, and the over/under line for today’s game against the Diamondbacks is set at 9 runs. The Cubs have had just one game this season with an over/under line set at 9 runs, and that game went over the total. Overall, 86.7% of their games this season have had lower over/under lines than today’s line of 9 runs. Their last three games have all gone under the total, and their over/under record in those games is 0-3.

Ben Brown will be making his first start of the season for the Cubs, as he has made two appearances out of the bullpen so far. He has gone 4 innings in each of those outings, giving up 1 earned run in each. Brown has 10 strikeouts in 8 innings of work so far this season.

Our model has Seiya Suzuki as the top hitter in today’s game, as he has the highest total hits projection in the league. We also have him as the most likely player to hit a home run in this game. If you’re looking for a Cubs player to hit a home run, Christopher Morel has the 2nd best odds on the team and 5th best in the league today.

Diamondbacks Records & Stats

Heading into their last game vs. the Cardinals, the Diamondbacks closed out the series with a 5-0 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -143 on the money line. It was a five-run 3rd inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Cardinals could only score four runs, all of which came in the 5th.

Zac Gallen put together a good start for the Diamondbacks, going six innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out seven Cardinals batters. Christian Walker was hot at the plate, going 3/4 with a run scored and a Jake McCarthy was only a 2/3 but drove in a run and scored another.

With an overall record of 8-8, the Diamondbacks are 2nd in the NL West, tied with the Padres. Currently, they are two games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. Arizona heads into today’s game on a two-game winning streak, closing out their series with the Cardinals with two straight wins.

Looking at their series record, the Diamondbacks are 3-2 and have won their last two series. At home, they are 6-4 compared to 2-4 on the road. Arizona has won two straight games as the favorite and is 7-3 when favored this season.

Arizona has been a solid run line bet this season, going 10-6 overall. They have been particularly good at home, going 7-3 on the run line. The Diamondbacks’ average run margin this season is +1.3 runs per game. They have been favored in 10 of their 16 games, going 6-4 on the run line in those contests.

The Diamondbacks have had an average combined run total of 9.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 8-8. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, their record is 3-2. Overall, 50% of their games this season have had over/under lines set at 9 runs, and the under has hit in their last two games.

Merrill Kelly has had a nice start to the season, picking up a win in each of his first two starts. He has gone 6 innings in each of those outings, and has 4 strikeouts in both games. Kelly has given up 3 homers in 13 innings of work.

Our player projections have Joc Pederson as the top home run threat for the Diamondbacks in today’s game, as his home run projection is 10th best in the league. If you’re looking for a player to lead the team in hits, we have Lourdes Gurriel Jr. as our top projected player in that category. Ketel Marte is another player to watch, as his home run projection is 13th best in the league today.