At 7:30 ET, the Hawks (-409) will host the Hornets (+315) in an Eastern Southeast division matchup. The Hawks are favored by 8.5 points and the over/under is 214.5. The Hornets have lost three straight and are 13th in the Eastern Conference, while the Hawks have dropped two in a row and are 10th in the East.

This game will be played at State Farm Arena in Atlanta and can be seen on BSSE.


The Pick: Atlanta Hawks -8.5

This game will be played at State Farm Arena at 7:30 ET on Saturday, March 23rd.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 114-104 in favor of the Hawks.
  • Our projections have Dejounte Murray finishing with Dejounte Murray points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Hawks finishing with a field goal percentage of 47.8% and knocking down 10 threes.

Will Charlotte Find a Way to Win on the Road?

This season, the Hornets have an average over/under line of 225.7, which is higher than today’s line of 214.5. In their games this season, the average combined scoring total has been 223.2.

Charlotte has gone 32-37 on the over/under this season, and 62 of their games have had higher over/under lines than 214.5. In their last game against the Magic, the teams combined for 204 points, which was well above the O/U line of 203.5.

The Hornets are 14-50 as underdogs this season and are currently on a four-game ATS losing streak as underdogs. On the road, they have an ATS record of 13-23.

Charlotte’s last game was a 112-92 loss to the Magic. They were 13-point underdogs in that game and are now 26-41 ATS for the season.

In the Eastern Conference standings, the Hornets are currently in 13th place with a record of 17-52. Against other teams in the East, they are 10-34 and 4-9 against division opponents.

Heading into their game against the Hawks, the Hornets are 29th in the league in scoring at 106.6 points per game. On the road, they are averaging 105.3 points per game.

So far this season, the Hornets have scored below the NBA average in 68.1% of their games. In terms of pace, they are 21st in the league at 97.2 possessions per game.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Hornets are 27th in both three-point percentage (35%) and makes per game (11.8). Overall, they are 27th in field goal percentage at 45%.

At present, the Hornets’ defense is ranked 19th, allowing 116.7 points per game. In the terms of takeaways, Hornets are causing 13.1 turnovers per game, ranking 18th in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 25th in rejections, averaging 4.5 blocked shots each game.

Does Atlanta Stand a Chance at Home?

In their last two games, the Hawks have failed to cover the spread and have an ATS record of 23-46 for the season. At home, they are 11-22 ATS and 12-24 ATS on the road.

This season, Atlanta has been favored in 38 of their 69 games and have a record of 21-17 as the favorite. As the favorite, they are 13-25 ATS and have an average scoring differential of +1 PPG.

Looking at their O/U record, the Hawks are 36-33 for the season, and the over has hit in their last two games. On average, their games have finished with 240.1 points per game compared to today’s O/U line of 214.5.

Despite losing to the Suns in their last game (128-115), the Hawks are still 10th in the Eastern Conference with a record of 30-39. In that game, the O/U line was 227.

Against the spread, the Hawks are 11-22 at home and have a straight-up record of 16-17. On the road, their ATS record is 12-24 compared to 14-22 straight up.

The Hawks are one of the top-scoring teams in the NBA this season, averaging 119 points per game (5th). At home, they are even better, averaging 122.5 points per game.

Atlanta’s offense is built around three-point shooting, as they are 8th in the league in made threes per game (13.6). Overall, they are shooting 36% from beyond the arc (18th).

When it comes to getting to the free-throw line, the Hawks are 3rd in the NBA in made free throws per game (19.4). They are also one of the top offensive rebounding teams, leading the league in that category (12.8 per game).

Coming into today’s game, the Hawks’ defense is giving up an average of 121.2 points per contest. Inside the arc, the Hawks defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 57.0% and 39.1% from three-point territory.