Planning on watching today’s Sabres and Lightning game? Catch the action at Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL, as the Lightning hosts this showdown at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The over/under for this matchup is currently set at 6 goals and the Lightning are the -1.5 favorite to win at home vs. the Sabres.

BUFFALO SABRES VS TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING BETTING PICK

The Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5

This game will be played at Amalie Arena at 7:00 ET on Monday, April 15th.

WHY BET THE TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING:

  • Even though they are considered 1.5-goal underdogs, our projection points to a 4-3 win for the Sabres.
  • We like the Sabres on the moneyline (+141)
  • The Sabres are also our pick on the spread at +1.5

Are Buffalo Ready for a Road Win?

Buffalo is 12th in the Eastern Conference and 6th in the Atlantic Division with a record of 38-38-6. On the road, the Sabres are 17-19-5 this season and have lost three straight games away from home. As the underdog, Buffalo has gone 20-27-5 this year.

In their last ten games, the Sabres have gone 5-5 and are 2-3 in their last five games. Over their last three games, Buffalo has gone 1-2. For the year, the Sabres have been the underdog in 51 of their 82 games.

Buffalo enters the game with a puck line record of 46-35, including going 3-0 vs. the puck line in their last three games. So far, the Sabres have played 51 games as the underdog and have a puck line record of 34-17 in those games.

On the road, Buffalo has a puck line record of 25-15 and has gone 6-4 vs. the puck line in their last ten road games. So far this season, the Sabres have 27 wins by multiple goals and have lost 26 games by more than one goal.

On average, Buffalo’s games have finished with 6 goals per game. The season’s average over/under line stands at 6.4. In total, the Sabres come in with an over/under record of 31-46-4.

When looking at their past three road matchups, Buffalo has an puck line record of 2-1 while averaging 1 per game. The team went 0-3 overall in these games.

Offensively, the Sabres come into the game at 3 goals per contest placing 22nd in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are in 14th position in the league. Looking at how the Sabres’ offense is performing during power plays, they are 30th in power play goals and 22nd in shorthanded goals.

The leading scorer for Buffalo’s offense is Tage Thompson. Coming into the game he has 29 goals, ranking 46th in the NHL. In addition to his goal scoring, Thompson has 27 assists this season.

In terms of defense, the Lightning head into the game ranked 24th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 29.3 shots per game against Tampa Bay. So far, they are 16th in shutouts, achieving 4 shutouts.

Entering the game, goalie Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen has started 51 games this season. His current record stands at 27-22, and his save percentage is 0.921%.

Are Tampa Bay Ready for a Home Win?

At home this season, the Lightning have gone 24-10-5 and are 30-16-3 when favored. In the Eastern Conference, Tampa Bay is in 6th place and 4th in the Atlantic Division. Overall, the Lightning have gone 44-28-8 and have 96 points. Over their last ten games, Tampa Bay has gone 6-4 and they are 2-3 in their last five.

On the year, the Lightning have been favored in 49 of their 80 games and have gone 25-23 against Eastern Conference opponents. Against teams in the Atlantic Division, Tampa Bay has gone 11-13, and they have gone 20-18-3 on the road. In their last three games, the Lightning have gone 1-2.

At home this season, the Lightning have gone 22-17 vs. the puck line, and their average scoring margin is +.8 goals per game. So far, they have 33 wins by multiple goals.

Overall, Tampa Bay is 42-38 vs. the puck line, and their average scoring margin is +.3 goals per contest. In their last ten games at home, the Lightning have gone 5-5 vs. the puck line.

This season, Tampa Bay’s games have an average of 6.8 goals per game. The average over/under number for the season is 6.4. The Lightning come in with an over/under performance of 38-37-5.

Buffalo has a 0-3 record in their last three road games. In this stretch, they averaged 1 goals per game while allowing 3. The team also performed well vs the puck line at 2-1.

In terms of their offensive performance, the Lightning are averaging 3.5 goals per game this season, putting them in the 4th spot in the NHL. When it comes to shots on goal per game, they are ranked 22nd in the league. This year, the Lightning have recorded a 25-14 record in games where they outshoot their opponent. For games with fewer shots on goal, they have a 18-11 record.

Tampa Bay will be looking for a good game from Brayden Point who leads the team in scoring with 45 goals, ranking 8th in the NHL. In addition to his goal scoring, Point has 44 assists this season.

Defensively, the Lightning are currently 24th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 29.3 shots per game against Tampa Bay. They also are 16th in shutouts, coming in with 4 shutouts.

Entering the game, goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy has started 51 games this season. His current record stands at 30-19, and his save percentage is 0.877%.