The Orioles (101-60, 49-31 home) will host the Red Sox (77-84, 38-42 away) in game four of this AL East series. Starting for the Orioles is Kyle Bradish, while the Red Sox are giving the ball to Tanner Houck. Read on to see my pick for this showdown between Baltimore Orioles and Boston Red Sox.
BOSTON RED SOX VS BALTIMORE ORIOLES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Boston Red Sox +1.5 Runs
This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards at 3:05 ET on Sunday, October 1st.
WHY BET THE BOSTON RED SOX:
- The Red Sox will be taking on a Orioles club that is just 4-6 vs. the runline in their past ten games.
- As the road favorite, the Red Sox’s runline win streak currently stands at three games.
- The Red Sox have gone 1-2 in Kyle Bradish’s last three starts.
BOSTON RED SOX HAVE STRUGGLED AGAINST THE AL EAST
On a record of 77-84, the Red Sox find themselves in 5th place in the AL East. When playing away from home, Boston is just 38-42 and come into the game with an overall series record of 23-24-4.
Today marks Tanner Houck’s 21st outing of the season, and his record stands at 5-10. His ERA is 5.31, with an OBP allowed of .330. He has struck out 93 batters thus far and holds a WHIP of 1.41. On the road, his ERA is 4.93, while it is 6.19 at home.
The Red Sox were defeated by the Rays 9-7 in Tanner Houck’s most recent start, where he was pulled after giving up six earned runs on 10 hits.
As a team, Boston has scuffled at the plate over their last ten games, with a combined batting average of just .194. Compared to other teams, this is just 26th in that span. When looking at the team’s power numbers, they have a season-long slugging percentage of .426% while going deep a total of 182 times (17th). Overall, the Red Sox are 10th in the MLB at 4.8 runs per contest.
The Red Sox’s offensive leader, Rafael Devers, has been a force to be reckoned with in 2023. His batting average of .271 is the highest on the team, and his .501 SLG% and .350 OBP are both impressive figures.
WILL THE BALTIMORE ORIOLES TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?
The Orioles enter today’s action with an overall record of 101-60, putting them in first place in the AL East. So far, they have put together a 49-31 record at home and 52-29. Baltimore’s overall series record stands at 31-14-5.
Kyle Bradish will take the mound for the Orioles with a 12-7 record. He has made 29 appearances this season, boasting an ERA of 2.86 and a batting average allowed of .215. His opponents have walked 43 times and struck out 163 times against him, resulting in a WHIP of 1.05 and SLG allowed of .330.
In his latest start, Kyle Bradish earned the win in a 1-0 shutout of the Nationals. The right-hander tossed eight innings of three-hit ball, registering a quality start and keeping Washington off the board.
So far this season, the Orioles’ has gone deep 183 times, placing them 16th in the league. Over Baltimore’s previous five games, they are 21st in runs scored, with their season average of 5 runs per game putting them 6th in the league. The Orioles’ overall team batting average stands at .256 along with an OBP of .321.
Gunnar Henderson has been one of the Orioles’ most productive hitters in 2023. He currently holds a .257 batting average, with 82 RBIs and 28 home runs.