Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Eagles versus the Cavaliers? Tip off is at at 9:30 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN. The game will be played at Capital One Arena in Washington, DC. The over/under for this Atlantic Coast conference contest is set at 125 points, with Virginia being favored by -4.5 at home against Boston College.

BOSTON COLLEGE EAGLES VS VIRGINIA CAVALIERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Virginia Cavaliers -4.5

This game will be played at Capital One Arena at 9:30 ET on Thursday, March 14th.

WHY BET THE VIRGINIA CAVALIERS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Cavaliers.
  • Not only will Virginia pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -4.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 125 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Can the Eagles Offense Score Enough on the Road?

Despite being the underdog, Boston College has gone 4-11 in games where they are not favored this season. They come into this game with a 17-14 record, including a 8-12 record in Atlantic Coast Conference play.

Over their last 10 games on the road, the Eagles have gone just 4-6. They are 6-7 on the road this season and have an average scoring margin of -1.8 points per game on the road.

Overall this season, Boston College has an ATS record of 13-16-2 and they are 5-6-2 vs. the spread on the road. As the underdog, the Eagles have gone 4-9-2 vs. the spread this year. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, Boston College has a mark of 3-6-1 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 125 is lower than the average over/under line in Boston College’s games this season (145.1). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 0-3 and the average scoring total in those games is 134 points.

The Boston College offense is coming off a game where they scored 67 points against Louisville. They posted a field goal percentage of 43.1% and connected on 8 threes. Quinten Post is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 16.8. Meanwhile, Claudell Harris Jr. also brings a PPG average of 13.7 into the game.

Currently, the Eagles’ defense holds the 186th rank in the nation, allowing 72.5 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Boston College’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 44.2% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 34.6% this season.

Will Virginia Live Up to Expectations at Home?

Virginia enters this game as the favorite, as they have been in 23 of their 31 games this season. The Cavaliers have gone 20-3 in those games, including a record of 17-2 at home.

So far this season, Virginia has gone 22-9, including a record of 13-7 in ACC play. In their most recent game, they defeated Georgia Tech by a score of 72-57.

As the favorite this season, Virginia has gone 14-8-1 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Cavaliers are 6-3-1 ATS. At home, Virginia is 11-7-1 vs. the spread this year and their ATS record in their last 10 home games is 5-4-1.

Today’s over/under line of 125 is lower than the average over/under line in Virginia’s games this year (126.8). Over their last three games, the average scoring total in Cavaliers games is 130 points compared to their season average of 122.6 points per game.

Virginia is fresh off a strong offensive showing, putting up 72 points versus Georgia Tech. This output is higher than their season-average of 63.5 points per game. The team’s top scorer is Reece Beekman, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 14.3, while Isaac McKneely also maintains a PPG average of 12.4 leading up to the game.

This season, the Virginia defense has been impressive, holding the 4th position in the country while permitting an average of 59.1 points per contest. So far, the Virginia defense is giving up an average of 8.2 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 7.7 times per game (350th).