At 10:00 ET, the 48-13 Celtics (-114) will travel to Denver to take on the 42-20 Nuggets (-106) in a non-conference matchup. The Nuggets are currently favored by 1 point and the over/under line is set at 221.5.

This game will be played at Ball Arena and can be seen on TNT.

BOSTON CELTICS VS DENVER NUGGETS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Boston Celtics -1

This game will be played at Ball Arena at 10:00 ET on Thursday, March 7th.

WHY BET THE BOSTON CELTICS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 117-110 in favor of the Celtics.
  • Our projections have Jayson Tatum finishing with Jayson Tatum points, 9 rebounds and 5 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Celtics finishing with a field goal percentage of 47.6% and knocking down 18 threes.

Will the Celtics Make it Happen on the Road?

The Celtics are 29-29 against the spread this season and are 12-15 ATS on the road. As the favorite, they are 27-28 ATS and have been favored in 58 of their 61 games. Today, they are favored by 1 point (-1).

Boston’s O/U record for the season is 29-32, and the under has hit in their last two games. On average, their games have finished with 230.8 points, which is higher than today’s O/U line of 221.5.

In their last game, the Celtics lost to the Cavaliers by a score of 105-104. The O/U line for that game was 217.5, and Boston was favored by 8.5 points. This loss brought their overall record to 48-13, which is the best in the Eastern Conference.

Against other Eastern Conference teams, the Celtics are 33-7 compared to 15-6 against the West. On the road, they are 19-10, and their ATS record on the road is 12-15.

When it comes to scoring, the Celtics are one of the top teams in the league, averaging 121 points per game (3rd). However, their scoring has been slightly lower on the road at 118.3 points per game (5th).

So far this season, the Celtics have outscored the NBA scoring average in 72.1% of their games. In terms of pace, Boston ranks 18th in the league at 98.1 possessions per game.

When it comes to field goal percentage, the Celtics are shooting 48% from the field (10th). From beyond the arc, they are one of the top three-point shooting teams in the league, making an average of 16.3 threes per game (1st).

Currently, the Celtics’ defense holds the 4th rank in the NBA, allowing 109.8 points per game. In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Celtics defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 51.5% while allowing 34.6% from downtown.

Does Denver Stand a Chance at Home?

Today, the Nuggets are 1-point underdogs at home against the Celtics. This season, Denver has been the underdog in just nine of their 62 games. As the underdog, the Nuggets have gone 3-6 straight-up and 4-5 against the spread.

Denver’s ATS record for the season is 27-33, and they have failed to cover the spread in their last two home games. At home, the Nuggets are 14-15 ATS.

Denver’s most recent game was a 117-107 loss to the Suns. The O/U line for that game was 224, resulting in a push. The Nuggets were favored by 8.5 points and did not cover the spread.

This season, Denver has an O/U record of 22-38-2. In their games, the average combined scoring is 224.8 points, and the average over/under line is 227.5.

In the Western Conference, the Nuggets are currently in 3rd place with a record of 42-20. Against the West, they are 24-14 and 18-6 against non-conference teams. On the road, the Nuggets are 18-14 compared to 24-6 at home.

At home, the Nuggets are outscoring their road average of 111.0 points per game by nearly seven points, ranking 9th in the NBA with 118.1 points per game.

Denver has been one of the most efficient teams inside the arc this season, ranking 2nd in two-point field goals made per game. Overall, the Nuggets are shooting 49% from the field, which is 5th in the league.

Despite their high field goal percentage, Denver is just 27th in three-pointers made per game. On average, the Nuggets are attempting 31.4 three-pointers per contest and are shooting 36% from beyond the arc.

At present, the Nuggets’ defense is ranked 7th, allowing 110.4 points per game. On two point field goal attempts, the Nuggets’ defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 52.4% and allowing 36.2% from beyond the arc.