The Bears and Cyclones are set to face off at 9:30 ET on ESPN. The Cyclones will host the game at T-Mobile Center in Kansas City, MO. The odds for this Big 12 conference game currently have Iowa State as the -1.5 point favorite with the over/under line sitting at 134.5 points.


The Pick: Iowa State Cyclones -1.5

This game will be played at T-Mobile Center at 9:30 ET on Friday, March 15th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Cyclones.
  • Not only will Iowa State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -1.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 134.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Is a Road Win Possible for the Bears?

After winning their last game against Cincinnati by a score of 68-56, Baylor comes into this game with a record of 22-9. They have gone 12-6 in Big 12 games and are 10-3 in non-conference games. On the road, the Bears have gone 5-7 this season, and they are 4-6 in their last 10 road games.

So far this season, Baylor has been the underdog in eight games, and they have gone 2-6 in those games. Overall, they have been the underdog in 31 of their 31 games. Their average scoring margin on the road this season is -0.7 points per game.

Against the spread, Baylor has an overall record of 19-10-1 this season. On the road, they are 6-6 vs. the spread. As the underdog, the Bears have gone 4-4 vs. the spread this year. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, Baylor has a record of 4-6 vs. the spread.

On the season, the over/under record for Baylor games is 15-15, and today’s line of 134.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games (147.6). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 149 points, and their OU record during this stretch is 1-2.

The Baylor offense is coming off a game in which they scored 68 points vs. Cincinnati. Overall their field goal percentage was 40% while connecting on 5 threes. Leading the team in scoring is Ja’Kobe Walter, who is averaging 14.6 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, RayJ Dennis also maintains a PPG average of 13.5 heading into game.

Currently, the Bears’ defense holds the 138th rank in the nation, allowing 71.1 points per game. Baylor will look once again to perform well on defense, holding Cincinnati to just 40% shooting in their most recent game.

Is a Home Win Possible for Iowa State?

With a record of 19-1 at home, Iowa State has been dominant at home this season. Over their last 10 games at home, the Cyclones are a perfect 10-0. In their most recent game, they defeated Kansas State by a score of 76-57. For the season, Iowa State has been favored in 24 of their 31 games, going 21-3.

On the other hand, Baylor has gone 6-6 on the road this season, and they enter this game as 1.5-point underdogs. So far, Iowa State has an average scoring margin of +22.3 points per game at home.

As the favorite, Iowa State has gone 15-8-1 vs. the spread this season and is 6-4 in their last 10 games as the favorite. At home, the Cyclones have an ATS mark of 14-5-1 and are 7-3 in their last 10 home games vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 134.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Iowa State’s games this season (138.1). This season, 15 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s over/under line. In their last three games, the average scoring total is 128 points.

The Iowa State offense is coming off a game in which they scored 76 points vs. Kansas State. Overall their field goal percentage was 46.3% while connecting on 1 three. In terms of offense, the Cyclones have a season-long field goal percentage of 46%, putting them 111st in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 230th in percentage and 292nd in three-pointers made.

Coming into today’s game, the Iowa State defense is giving up an average of 61.9 points per contest. Against Kansas State in their most recent game, the Iowa State defense gave up a total of 57 points while allowing Kansas State to hit 46% of their shots.