Looking to win big? The Wolfpack and Cavaliers face off at 9:30 ET on ESPN2. The Cavaliers are hosting the game at Capital One Arena in Washington, DC. The odds for this Atlantic Coast conference game currently have Virginia as the -4.5 point favorite with the over/under line sitting at 120.5 points.


The Pick: Virginia Cavaliers -4.5

This game will be played at Capital One Arena at 9:30 ET on Friday, March 15th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Cavaliers.
  • Not only will Virginia pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -4.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 120.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Can the Wolfpack Lock in a Win at Washington?

North Carolina State will be looking to extend their two-game win streak when they take on Virginia. The Wolfpack have gone 17-14 overall and 11-11 in Atlantic Coast Conference play.

Over their last 10 road games, the Wolfpack have gone 4-6, and they are 7-9 on the road this season. For the year, they have been outscored by an average of 2.5 points per game away from home.

North Carolina State has an ATS record of 15-17-1 this season. On the road, their ATS mark is 7-8-1. As the underdog, the Wolfpack have gone 7-7-1 vs. the spread this year. In their last 10 games as the underdog, NC State is 5-4-1 ATS.

This season, the over/under record for North Carolina State games is 18-14-1, and today’s over/under line of 120.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (147.3). So far, 31 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2, and the average scoring total in those games is 156 points.

The North Carolina State offense is coming off a game in which they scored 74 points vs. Duke. Overall their field goal percentage was 45.9% while connecting on 7 threes. The team’s top scorer is DJ Horne, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 16.8, while Jayden Taylor also carries a PPG average of 12.5 into the game.

At this time, the Wolfpack’s defense is positioned 187th in the country, permitting 72.5 points per game. In today’s game, the North Carolina State defense will be looking to once again do a good job defending the three-point line, as they gave up just 5 three-pointers while giving up 69 points.

Does Virginia Have What it Takes at Home?

Virginia is a 4.5-point favorite for tonight’s game against North Carolina State. The Cavaliers have been favored in 23 of their 31 games this season, going 20-3 in those contests.

At home, Virginia has been even better, going 17-2 this season. Over their last 10 games at home, the Cavaliers are 8-2.

As the favorite this season, Virginia has gone 14-8-1 vs. the spread. At home, their ATS mark is 11-7-1. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Cavaliers are 6-3-1 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 120.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Virginia’s games this season (126.8). So far, 12 of their games have finished with fewer points than 120.5. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average of 125 points scored.

Virginia is coming off a good offensive performance, putting up 72 points vs. Georgia Tech. This figure is more than their season average of 63.5 points per game. In terms of offense, the Cavaliers have a season-long field goal percentage of 43%, putting them 281st in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 155th in percentage and 273rd in three-pointers made.

This season, the Virginia defense has been impressive, holding the 4th position in the country while permitting an average of 59.2 points per contest. Virginia’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the Georgia Tech offense to knock down 51% of their shots on their way to putting up 57 points.