In this AL East matchup, the Blue Jays (60-49, 30-23 home) play host to the Orioles (66-42, 34-21 away) at Rogers Centre. Taking the mound for the Blue Jays is Kevin Gausman, while the Orioles will go with Jack Flaherty. Check out my pick for four of this Toronto Blue Jays and Baltimore Orioles matchup.
BALTIMORE ORIOLES VS TORONTO BLUE JAYS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Baltimore Orioles +141
This game will be played at Rogers Centre at 3:07 ET on Thursday, August 3rd.
WHY BET THE BALTIMORE ORIOLES:
- In their last five games as the underdog, the Orioles have put together a record of 3-2.
- Baltimore has the leg up over the Blue Jays so far this year at 7-2.
- In Jack Flaherty’s four most recent starts, the Orioles are 3-1.
BALTIMORE ORIOLES LOOK TO CONTINUE WINNING WAYS ON THE ROAD
Heading into this divisional matchup vs. the Blue Jays, the Orioles have an overall record of 66-42. This mark includes going 23-14 against divisional foes. Currently, they are 1st in the AL East. Baltimore’s overall series record sits at 19-11-3.
The Orioles will turn to starter Jack Flaherty, who has a 7-6 record after 20 appearances this season. His ERA stands at 4.43, with a K/9 of 8.7 and a FIP of 4.22. Opposing batters have an OBP of .360 against him.
Jack Flaherty’s most recent outing against the Diamondbacks saw him surrender three runs on eight hits over five innings. Although he didn’t factor into the decision, Flaherty’s performance was instrumental in the Orioles’ 11-7 victory.
The Orioles have been one of the top power lineups in the league of late, having hit 5 home runs over their last five games. Compared to other clubs, this is 8th best in that span. For the season, they are ranked 13th in home runs and 10th in slugging percentage. Overall, Baltimore is averaging 4.9 runs per game (9th).
The Orioles’ Adley Rutschman has been their top offensive performer this season, boasting a .273 batting average. His slugging percentage of .426 and on-base percentage of .373 have been integral in the team’s success.
WILL THE TORONTO BLUE JAYS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?
Throughout the season, the Blue Jays have taken advantage of playing at home, posting a series record of 11-4 at Rogers Centre. Their overall record of 60-49 puts Toronto 3rd in the AL East. Against the runline, their overall record is 51-58 and 23-30 at home. This year’s Blue Jays’ games have an over/under record of 45-60.
Kevin Gausman will take the mound for Toronto, having thrown at least six innings in three consecutive games. His current season stats include an ERA of 3.10, an 8-5 record, and 171 strikeouts. He has a WHIP of 1.13 and has allowed a WOBA of .280 while issuing 32 walks.
Toronto is looking to Kevin Gausman to lead them to another victory, as the last time he was on the mound they defeated the Angels 4-1. Gausman went six innings, allowing one earned run on five hits.
Offensively, Toronto is ranked 15th in the league with an average of 4.5 runs per game. When looking over their last ten matchups, the Blue Jays averaged 3.4 runs per contest, which is 8th best in that span. In terms of their power numbers, Toronto is 13th in all of baseball, with a total of 126 home runs.
A key injury to note for today’s matchup is that the Blue Jays’ season leader in hits, Bo Bichette, will not be playing. The shortstop has been a major contributor to the team’s offense this year, boasting a .321 batting average and an impressive .352 on-base percentage.