The Braves (93-49, 46-24 away) travel to take on the Phillies (78-64, 42-28 home) in game one of this NL East matchup. Charlie Morton is getting the start for the Braves while Taijuan Walker is starting for the Phillies. See who I like to pick up the win in today’s Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies showdown at Citizens Bank Park.
ATLANTA BRAVES VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Atlanta Braves -1.5 Runs
This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park at 1:05 ET on Monday, September 11th.
WHY BET THE ATLANTA BRAVES:
- Over their last ten games on the road, Atlanta is 7-3 against the runline.
- The Braves have put together a 2-1 record vs. the runline in their last three games as the favorite.
- Charlie Morton has done a good job at avoiding the long-ball of late, having not given up a home-run in each of his past four starts.
CAN THE ATLANTA BRAVES PULL OUT A WIN AS ROAD FAVORITES?
The Braves enter today’s action with an overall record of 93-49, putting them in first place in the NL East. So far, they have put together a 47-25 record at home and 46-24. Atlanta’s overall series record stands at 32-10-3.
Atlanta will give the ball to Charlie Morton, who has a 14-11 record so far this season. He’s been on a roll lately, allowing three or fewer earned runs in his last five starts. His ERA stands at 3.32 with a FIP of 3.80, while opponents are slugging .359 against him and he has 168 strikeouts.
The Braves were unable to come away with a victory in Charlie Morton’s latest outing, as they fell to the Dodgers 3-1. The righty pitched four innings, surrendering two earned runs on six hits.
For the season, the Braves’ offense is averaging 5.8 runs per game. Over their last five games they have swung the bats well, sitting 9th in the league in scoring, with a total of 25 runs. Overall, Atlanta’s team batting average is .276, putting them 1st in the MLB.
Ronald Acuña Jr. has been one of the Atlanta Braves’ most potent offensive weapons in 2023. His .336 batting average and 93 RBIs have been integral to the team’s success, while his 35 home runs have made him a feared presence at the plate.
WILL THE PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?
Heading into this divisional matchup vs. the Braves, the Phillies have an overall record of 78-64. This mark includes going 17-21 against divisional foes. Currently, they are 2nd in the NL East. Philadelphia’s overall series record sits at 25-17-3.
Taijuan Walker is having a stellar season thus far, boasting a 15-5 record and an ERA of 4.15. He has been particularly impressive on the road, where he has gone 8-3 with an ERA of 9.32 in 13 appearances. At home, he has maintained a 7-2 record and 3.43 ERA. His WHIP stands at 1.32, while opponents are batting .234 against him with a slugging percentage of .388.
The Phillies are looking to Taijuan Walker to lead them to another victory after his last start against the Padres, in which he allowed four earned runs on five hits over five innings, resulting in a 9-7 win.
So far this season, the Phillies’ has gone deep 188 times, placing them 10th in the league. Over Philadelphia’s previous five games, they are 15th in runs scored, with their season average of 4.9 runs per game putting them 9th in the league. The Phillies’ overall team batting average stands at .259 along with an OBP of .330.
Kyle Schwarber has been the Phillies’ most prolific power hitter in 2023, leading the team with 43 home runs and 94 RBIs. His slugging percentage is a robust .483 for the season.