The Braves (104-58, 52-29 away) and Phillies (90-72, 49-32 home) square off in two of this NL East series. Ranger Suárez will take the mound for the Phillies against Spencer Strider for the Braves. See who I like to come out on top in this Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies showdown in Philadelphia.
ATLANTA BRAVES VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Atlanta Braves -157
This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park at 8:07 ET on Thursday, October 12th.
WHY BET THE ATLANTA BRAVES:
- In their last ten games, the Braves have a record of 6-4.
- Looking at the Braves’ last five games as the underdog, they are just 2-3.
- In Spencer Strider’s five most recent starts, the Braves are 2-1.
ATLANTA BRAVES STRUGGLING VS RUNLINE OF LATE
For the season, the Braves are 104-58 overall, including going 52-29 on the road and 52-29 at home. When looking at their overall series record, Atlanta is above .500 at 34-13-4. In the NL East, the Braves are currently 1st.
Atlanta Braves starter Spencer Strider is having a stellar season, boasting an impressive 20-5 record and 3.86 ERA. On the road, Strider has posted a 4.20 ERA, while at home his ERA is 5.18. His WHIP for the season is an impressive 1.09, with opposing teams batting .203 against him and slugging .343.
Spencer Strider’s latest start ended in a 3-0 loss for the Braves against the Phillies, but he still put forth a quality performance. The right-hander allowed just two runs in seven innings of work.
For the season, the Braves are 1st in batting average, hitting a combined .276. Over their last ten games, they have hit .287 which is 2nd in that span. Atlanta’s average of 5.8 runs per game puts them 1st in the league. In terms of home runs, they have gone deep 307 times and have a team slugging percentage of .501.
The Atlanta Braves have seen Marcell Ozuna lead the way in home runs over the past ten games, with three long balls to his name. Ozuna’s season total now stands at an impressive 40, and he is batting .274 overall.
WILL THE PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?
This season, the Phillies have played a total of 52 series and are above .500 at 30-18-4. On the road, Philadelphia is 41-40 and 49-32 at home. Their overall record of 90-72 has the Phillies sitting 2nd in the NL East.
Philadelphia starter Ranger Suárez has had an up-and-down season thus far, with an overall record of 4-6 and ERA of 4.18. On the road, Suárez has been impressive, boasting a 2.85 ERA. However, when pitching at home his numbers have been less than stellar, with a 6.35 ERA. His WHIP for the season is 1.42 and opponents are hitting .263 against him with a slugging percentage of .408.
Ranger Suárez’s latest outing saw him surrender just one hit in 3 2/3 innings of work, leaving his ERA unscathed at 0.00. The Phillies ultimately emerged victorious over the Braves, 3-0, though Suárez was not awarded a decision for his efforts.
Offensively, Philadelphia is ranked 8th in the league with an average of 4.9 runs per game. When looking over their last five matchups, the Phillies averaged 5 runs per contest, which is 6th best in that span. In terms of their power numbers, Philadelphia is 7th in all of baseball, with a total of 220 home runs.
The Philadelphia Phillies have been bolstered by the offensive performance of Kyle Schwarber this season. The slugger has a .197 batting average, but has driven in 104 runs and hit 47 home runs in 2023.