Game two of this NL East series sees the Mets (52-63, 28-25 home) and Braves (73-41, 36-21 away) facing off at Citi Field. The starting pitcher for the Mets will be Denyi Reyes, while the Braves are turning to Allan Winans. Find out who I like to win in this New York Mets and Atlanta Braves showdown.
ATLANTA BRAVES VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK
The Pick: New York Mets +1.5 Runs
This game will be played at Citi Field at 1:10 ET on Saturday, August 12th.
WHY BET THE NEW YORK METS:
- In their previous five games, the Mets are 3-2 vs. the runline.
- The Braves are just 3-7 vs. the runline in their last ten road games.
- In Allan Winans’ one starts, the Braves have a record of just 0-1.
CAN THE ATLANTA BRAVES PULL OUT A WIN AS ROAD FAVORITES?
Heading into this divisional matchup vs. the Mets, the Braves have an overall record of 73-41. This mark includes going 23-6 against divisional foes. Currently, they are 1st in the NL East. Atlanta’s overall series record sits at 24-9-3.
Allan Winans’ last start against the Brewers resulted in a no-decision for the Braves starter. He pitched 4 1/3 innings, giving up two runs on five hits, but his team ultimately fell 4-3.
The Braves have been one of the top power lineups in the league of late, having hit 15 home runs over their last ten games. Compared to other clubs, this is 7th best in that span. For the season, they are ranked 1st in home runs and 1st in slugging percentage. Overall, Atlanta is averaging 5.7 runs per game (3rd).
Ronald Acuña Jr. has been a consistent force in the Braves’ lineup this season, boasting a .337 batting average and slugging .580. In the team’s last ten games, Acuña Jr. has been particularly impressive, leading Atlanta in hits with a .393 average.
WILL THE NEW YORK METS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?
The Mets enter today’s game with an overall record of 52-63 which includes going 28-40 against teams with above .500 records. As of today, they are 4th in the NL East. Across their 37 series, New York is 13-19-5 and have records of 24-38 and 28-25 on the road and at home, respectively.
The Mets will turn to starter Denyi Reyes, who has an 0-1 record thus far in the 2023 season. Over six appearances, Reyes has posted a 6.14 ERA and 9.82 K/9 rate, as well as a 5.85 FIP and .324 OBP.
Denyi Reyes’ most recent start for the Mets ended in a 9-8 loss to the Braves. He was pulled after surrendering five earned runs on five hits over a limited number of innings.
So far this season, the Mets’ has gone deep 143 times, placing them 11th in the league. Over New York’s previous five games, they are 12th in runs scored, with their season average of 4.3 runs per game putting them 21st in the league. The Mets’ overall team batting average stands at .237 along with an OBP of .317.
Pete Alonso has been a major contributor to the Mets’ offense over their last ten games, leading the team with 4 home runs. The slugger’s season-long total now stands at 35 long balls, while his overall batting average is .226.