Spencer Strider gets the start for the Braves (73-41, 36-21 away) against José Quintana and the Mets (52-63, 28-25 home). Today will be game two of their series, with the Braves leading 1-0. Check out who I like to see who comes out on top in today’s Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets matchup.

ATLANTA BRAVES VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK

The Pick: New York Mets +1.5 Runs

This game will be played at Citi Field at 7:15 ET on Saturday, August 12th.

WHY BET THE NEW YORK METS:

  • The Braves are just 2-3 vs. the runline in their last five road games.
  • In their five most recent games as the favorite, the Braves have gone just 2-3 against the runline.
  • Spencer Strider has struggled of late, coming in with an ERA of 8.15 over his last five starts.

ATLANTA BRAVES LOOK TO CONTINUE WINNING WAYS ON THE ROAD

So far this season, Atlanta has played in 36 series, going 24-9-3. Their current record of 73-41 is good for first place in the NL East. On the road, the Braves have gone 36-21 compared to 37-20 at home.

Atlanta Braves starter Spencer Strider has been a key contributor to the team’s success this season, boasting an impressive 12-4 record and 3.94 ERA. His numbers on the road and at home are slightly higher, with a 4.76 ERA away from Atlanta and 4.77 when pitching in front of his home crowd. Strider has also kept opposing batters in check, with a season-long WHIP of 1.13 and batting average allowed of .211, as well as a slugging percentage against him of just .365.

Spencer Strider will attempt to rebound from a subpar performance against the Pirates. The Braves ultimately fell 7-6, and Strider was charged with six runs in 2 2/3 innings of labor.

Offensively, Atlanta is ranked 3rd in the league with an average of 5.7 runs per game. When looking over their last five matchups, the Braves averaged 5.2 runs per contest, which is 6th best in that span. In terms of their power numbers, Atlanta is 1st in all of baseball, with a total of 218 home runs.

The Braves have seen Orlando Arcia lead the charge offensively over their last five games, with two home runs. Arcia has 13 long balls on the season and is batting .297.

WILL THE NEW YORK METS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?

For the season, the Mets have an overall record of 52-63, placing them 4th in the NL East. Against other NL East opponents, they are 16-15 along with going 28-25 and 24-38 at home and on the road, respectively. So far, they have played a total of 37 series, going 13-19-5.

The Mets will turn to starter José Quintana, who has an overall record of 0-3 this season. Through four appearances, his ERA is 3.42 with a K/9 of 6.08. Quintana has put together a FIP of 2.80 and an OBP of .304 thus far in 2023.

José Quintana will look to build on his most recent outing, where he pitched six frames and yielded two earned runs on six hits. Unfortunately, the Mets were unable to come away with a win, as they were defeated by the Orioles 2-0.

The Mets have been one of the top power lineups in the league of late, having hit 6 home runs over their last five games. Compared to other clubs, this is 5th best in that span. For the season, they are ranked 11th in home runs and 20th in slugging percentage. Overall, New York is averaging 4.3 runs per game (21st).

Pete Alonso is having a standout season for the Mets, leading the team in home runs with 35 and RBIs with 87. His slugging percentage of .532 is indicative of his impressive offensive performance this year.