Atlanta Braves at Kansas City Royals Betting Pick 09/24/19

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Ozzie Albies and the Atlanta Braves are making a road trip to Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals. Fox Sports Kansas City will televise this interleague matchup and the game gets underway at 8:15 p.m. ET.

Atlanta Braves vs. Kansas City Royals Odds

Kansas City (getting +135 odds) is coming into this contest as the underdog to Atlanta and Vegas has the Over/Under for this night game at 9.5 runs. Odds for playing the game’s total sit at +100 for the under and -120 for the over. This game currently has a runline of Braves -1.5 (+100) and Royals +1.5 (-120).

The Royals are 57-100 straight up (SU) and 74-83 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 22.4 units for moneyline bettors and 21.9 units ATS. The Braves are 96-61 SU and have gone 78-79 against the spread. They’ve gained 21.0 units for moneyline gamblers and 0.2 units ATS.

Royals games have an over/under record of 78-71-8 in 2019. Atlanta has an over/under record of 75-74-8.

Julio Teheran will get the start for the visiting Braves. The right-handed Teheran (10-10, 3.55 ERA) has recorded 161 punchouts in 172.1 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with six strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Kansas City this year.

The Royals will deploy lefty Danny Duffy (6-6, 4.30 ERA) to the mound. Duffy has 110 punchouts and 44 walks as well as a 1.31 WHIP. Duffy is 0-0 with 11 strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA in one start against Atlanta this year.

Kansas City’s pitching staff has allowed 5.3 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.26, a WHIP of 1.44 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.2. The bullpen has a 5.05 ERA, 1.54 WHIP and 8.7 K/9.

The Kansas City offense has put up 4.3 runs per contest, including 4.0 per game over its last 10 games and 5.6 per game over its last five. The team has hit .272/.358/.383 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that span.

The Royals’ batters have been led by second baseman Whit Merrifield and right fielder Jorge Soler. Merrifield is hitting .302/.349/.462 with 16 home runs, 74 RBIs, 102 runs and 19 stolen bases, and Soler’s line is .260/.349/.555 with 45 homers, 112 RBIs and 91 runs.

For the visitors, Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.11 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 8.17 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.28, along with a WHIP of 1.33 and a K-per-9 of 9.22.

The Braves offense has slashed .257/.338/.453 on its way to 5.3 runs scored per game this season, including 4.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Atlanta’s hitters have been paced by second baseman Ozzie Albies and outfielder Ronald Acuna Jr., who have combined to swat 64 home runs. Albies is hitting .296/.352/.501 with 23 home runs, 82 RBIs, 98 runs and 15 steals, while Acuna Jr. (.280/.366/.518) is up to 41 homers, 101 RBIs, 127 runs and 37 stolen bases.

The Braves have gained 5.7 units and are 17-17 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 17 of those games, as opposed to 14 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Royals have lost 15.2 units and are 55-60 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 57 of those games, as opposed to 54 that’ve cashed the under.

Atlanta Braves at Kansas City Royals Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER

Notes

Betting Trends

The over has cashed in four of Kansas City’s last seven games.

The Braves have an OPS of .791 this season, including an OPS of .787 against left-handed pitchers. The Royals’ OPS sits at .711 overall and .708 against southpaws.

Atlanta fielders have committed six errors over the last five games, compared to only two errors for Kansas City over its last five.

The Braves have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Royals have hit five over their last 10.