Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers Free Pick 09/24/19

The Minnesota Twins are making a road trip to Detroit to face their AL Central foe Tigers at Comerica Park. The game gets underway 6:40 p.m. ET and Fox Sports North is in line to televise the matchup.

Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Odds

Oddsmakers are listing Detroit (+205) as the underdog to Minnesota (-225). The game’s total is sitting at 9.5 runs and gamblers can wager on the over or the under for -110. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds standing at -150 for the Twins -1.5 runs and +130 for the Tigers +1.5 runs.

The Tigers are 46-109 straight up (SU) and 64-91 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 39.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 32.9 units ATS. Detroit has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven. The Twins are 96-60 SU and have gone 86-70 against the spread. They’ve gained 18.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 9.3 units ATS. Minnesota is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.

Tigers games have had an over/under record of 69-74-12 in 2019. The Twins have been a decent over bet with a total record of 80-71-5.

Jake Odorizzi will get the nod for the visiting Twins. The right-handed Odorizzi is 14-7 with a 3.59 ERA and 171 strikeouts. He’s 2-0 with 20 strikeouts and a 2.00 ERA against Detroit this year (three starts).

The Tigers are putting the ball in the right hand of Spencer Turnbull (3-15, 4.66 ERA), who has 134 strikeouts and 56 walks as well as a 1.47 WHIP. Turnbull is 0-1 with 10 strikeouts and a 6.97 ERA over two starts against Minnesota this year.

Minnesota’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.23 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 8.50 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.22, along with a WHIP of 1.30.

Twins hitters have slashed .270/.341/.495 on their way to 5.8 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Shortstop Jorge Polanco and outfielder Eddie Rosario have paced Minnesota’s hitters. Polanco is slashing .299/.362/.490 with 22 home runs, 78 RBIs and 106 runs scored. Rosario (.278/.301/.501) has produced 31 homers, 104 RBIs and 90 runs scored.

For the home team, Detroit’s pitchers have given up 5.7 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.56, a WHIP of 1.44 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.6. The bullpen has a 4.92 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 8.5 K/9. In 69 games against divisional foes, Tigers starters have an ERA of 6.56 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.02.

The Detroit offense is putting up 3.7 runs per outing, including 4.0 per game against divisional foes and 2.2 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .256/.282/.387 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

The Tigers’ batters have been led by Miguel Cabrera and Nicholas Castellanos. Cabrera is hitting .285/.350/.391 with 10 home runs, 56 RBIs and 38 runs scored, and the line for Castellanos stands at .273/.328/.462 with 11 homers, 37 RBIs and 57 runs.

The Twins have gained 19.9 units and are 66-53 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 58 of those games, compared to 58 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Tigers have lost 37.0 units and are 45-75 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 49 of those games, compared to 61 which went under the total.

Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – UNDER