Planning on watching today’s Red Wolves and Trojans game? Catch the action at Trojan Arena in Troy, AL, as the Trojans hosts this showdown at 8:30 ET on ESPN+. The odds for this Sun Belt conference game currently have Troy as the -6 point favorite with the over/under line sitting at 156.5 points.


The Pick: Troy Trojans -6

This game will be played at Trojan Arena at 8:30 ET on Thursday, February 15th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-69 in favor of the Trojans.
  • Not only will Troy pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -6.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 156.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 146 points.

Can The Red Wolves Secure a Win at Troy?

Arkansas State has struggled on the road this season, going just 4-11 away from home. Their average scoring margin on the road is -4.8 compared to +8.8 at home. The Red Wolves are 2-9 as underdogs this season.

Arkansas State is coming off a 100-87 win over Ohio. Over their last 10 road games, they are 3-7, and they are 1-4 in their last five.

Arkansas State has an ATS record of 15-10-1 this season, including a road ATS mark of 7-7-1. As the underdog, the Red Wolves have gone 6-4-1 vs. the spread. In their last 10 games as the underdog, Arkansas State is 6-3-1.

Arkansas State’s over/under record for the season sits at 13-12-1, and the average over/under line in its games is 153.5. So far, 15 of its games have finished with fewer points than today’s over/under line of 156.5. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 170 points, and their over/under record over their last 10 games is 6-3-1.

The Arkansas State offense is coming off a game where they scored 100 points against Ohio. They posted a field goal percentage of 63.8% and connected on 11 threes. On the offensive front, the Red Wolves have a season-long field goal percentage of 44%, ranking 230th nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 140th in terms of percentage and 17th in three-pointers made.

Currently, the Red Wolves’ defense holds the 300th rank in the nation, allowing 78.9 points per game. So far, the Arkansas State defense is giving up an average of 9.5 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 11.4 times per game (501st).

Can the Trojans Secure a Win at Home?

As the favorite, Troy has gone 13-2 this season, and they are favored by six points against Arkansas State. At home, the Trojans are 11-1 this season, and they have won their last 11 games at home.

Overall, Troy has won six games in a row, and they have a record of 17-8. In Sun Belt play, the Trojans are 10-2, and they have gone 7-6 in non-conference games.

When looking at Troy’s ATS record this season, they have been very solid at 16-6. At home, they have gone 10-2 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Trojans are 7-3 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 156.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Troy games this year (146.6). So far, 16 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s OU line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and their games this year have averaged 148.5 points.

The Troy offense is coming off a game where they scored 78 points against Kent State. They posted a field goal percentage of 53.2% and connected on 4 threes. Offensively, the Trojans have a season long field goal percentage of 43%, which is 269th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 162nd in percentage and 60th in three-pointers made.

Coming into today’s game, the Troy defense is giving up an average of 69.4 points per contest. In their previous game vs. Kent State, the Golden Flashes finished with a field goal percentage of 53% and a total of 68 points vs. Troy.