The Wildcats and Trojans are set to face off at 10:00 ET on ESPN. The Trojans will host the game at Galen Center in Los Angeles, CA. Arizona is favored by -7.5 in this Pac-12 conference contest against USC. The game’s over/under currently sits at 159.5 points.

ARIZONA WILDCATS VS USC TROJANS BETTING PICK

The Pick: USC Trojans +7.5

This game will be played at Galen Center at 10:00 ET on Saturday, March 9th.

WHY BET THE USC TROJANS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Trojans.
  • Not only will USC pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +7.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 159.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Can the Wildcats Pull Off a Road Win?

Arizona enters this game as the favorites, and they have been the favorites in 28 of their 30 games this season. The Wildcats have a record of 22-6 when favored, compared to 2-0 when they are the underdog.

On the road this season, Arizona has gone 8-5, and they have won their last five games away from home. Their average scoring margin on the road is +5.6 points per game.

Arizona’s ATS record this season is 20-10, and they have gone 8-5 vs. the spread on the road. As the favorite, the Wildcats are 18-10 vs. the spread this year. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, Arizona has gone 7-3 vs. the spread. On the road, their ATS mark is 6-4 over their last 10 games.

This season, the over/under record for Arizona games is 15-14-1 and today’s line of 159.5 is higher than their average over/under line of 158. So far, 14 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1.

The Arizona offense is coming off a game where they scored 88 points against UCLA. They posted a field goal percentage of 51.9% and connected on 9 threes. For the season, the Arizona offense has been one of the more efficient shooting teams in the NCAA with a field goal percentage of 49%. So far, they have hit 55% of their looks from inside the arc, and are averaging 8 made three’s per contest.

At this time, the Wildcats’ defense is positioned 207th in the country, permitting 73.0 points per game. The Arizona defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 65 points and allowed UCLA to connect on 6 threes.

Can the Trojans Offense Score Enough at Home?

USC will enter tonight’s game as a 7.5-point underdog, and they have gone just 2-11 this season in games where they are the underdog. The Trojans have gone 9-7 at home this season, and they are coming off a win over Arizona State, which improved their record to 13-17.

Over their last 10 games at home, USC has gone 5-5, and they are 3-2 over their last five. So far this season, they have gone 7-12 in Pac-12 play, and they are 6-5 in non-conference games.

Against the spread, USC has a record of 14-16 this season. At home, they are 7-9 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Trojans have gone 5-5 vs. the spread.

On the season, the over/under record in USC games is 19-10-1, and today’s line of 159.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (147.4). So far, 22 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 with an average scoring total of 152 points.

USC recently showcased a strong offensive performance, scoring 81 points against Arizona State. This output exceeded their season average of 74.6 points per game. Leading the team in scoring was Boogie Ellis with 28 points. Kobe Johnson also added 15 points for the Trojans.

Coming into today’s game, the USC defense is giving up an average of 74.8 points per contest. In their most recent game, the USC defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Arizona State knocked down 12 three-pointers on their way to 73 points.