The Sun Devils and Bruins are set to face off at 11:00 ET on FS1. The Bruins will host the game at Pauley Pavilion in Los Angeles, CA. The over/under for this game is set at 134 points, and UCLA is favored by -6.5 vs. Arizona State in a Pac-12 conference matchup.


The Pick: Arizona State Sun Devils +6.5

This game will be played at Pauley Pavilion at 11:00 ET on Saturday, March 9th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Bruins.
  • Even though we have UCLA winning straight-up, we like Arizona State at +6.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 134 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Will Arizona State Shock Everyone at Pauley Pavilion?

Arizona State enters today’s game as a 6.5-point underdog, and they have gone 6-10 in their 16 games as the underdog this season. They are also just 3-9 on the road this year, and their average scoring margin on the road is -11.5 points per game.

Over their last 10 games away from home, the Sun Devils have gone 3-7, and they are coming off an 81-73 loss to USC. On the season, they have gone 14-16 overall, including an 8-10 record in Pac-12 games.

Against the spread, Arizona State has a record of 13-16 this season. On the road, their ATS mark is 5-7. As the underdog, the Sun Devils are 8-8 vs. the spread this year and 6-4 in their last 10 games as the underdog.

Arizona State’s over/under record this season is 15-14 and today’s line of 134 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (144.2). So far, 21 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 146 points.

Coming off their recent game, the Arizona State offense tallied 73 points in a matchup against USC. Their field goal percentage for the game was 50%, and they made 3 threes. Coming into the game, the Sun Devils offense has strugled with their outside shot this season, hitting threes at a rate of just 30%. On average, they get up 22.5 three-point attempts per game and are averaging 13.2 made free-throws.

At present, the Sun Devils’ defense is nationally ranked 231st, allowing 74.0 points per game. In their most recent game, the Arizona State defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as USC knocked down 12 three-pointers on their way to 81 points.

Is A Home Victory Likely for the Favored Bruins?

UCLA comes into this game with a 14-16 record, including a 9-10 mark in Pac-12 games. They have lost five straight games and are currently 8-9 at home this season. Over their last 10 games at home, the Bruins are 4-6.

So far this season, UCLA has been favored in 15 games, going 9-6 in those matchups. In their last game, the Bruins lost to Arizona by a score of 88-65.

As the favorite this season, UCLA has gone just 3-10-2 against the spread. Their ATS mark at home is only 5-12 and their last 10 games as the favorite have resulted in a 2-7-1 ATS record. In their last three home games, the Bruins have failed to cover the spread.

On the season, the over/under record for UCLA games is 12-18. So far, 15 of their games have finished with less than today’s line of 134 points. In their last three games, the average scoring total is 155 points and the over/under record over their last 10 games is 7-3.

In their recent matchup, the UCLA offense ended with 65 points against Arizona. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 39% and made 6 threes. Leading UCLA in scoring vs. Arizona was Lazar Stefanovic with his 20 points. Dylan Andrews also added 18 points for the Bruins.

At this time, the Bruins’ defense is positioned 38th in the country, permitting 66.3 points per game. In their previous game vs. Arizona, the Wildcats finished with a field goal percentage of 39% and a total of 88 points vs. UCLA.