The Phillies (90-72, 49-32 home) host the Diamondbacks (84-78, 41-40 away) in game two of this National League series. Getting the start for the Phillies is Ranger Suárez while the Diamondbacks are turning to Brandon Pfaadt. Read on to get my best bet for this Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks matchup.
ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks +146
This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park at 8:07 ET on Tuesday, October 24th.
WHY BET THE ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS:
- In their last ten games, the Diamondbacks have a record of 7-3.
- Over their last five games as the favorite, the Phillies are just 2-3 (straight-up).
- In Brandon Pfaadt’s three most recent starts, the Diamondbacks are 3-0.
ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS TRYING TO CLOSE GAP IN NL WEST
Overall, the Diamondbacks have a record of 84-78 which has them 2nd in the NL West. Arizona has rattled off four straight series victories and have an overall series record of 32-21-3. This season, Arizona is 43-38 at home and 41-40 on the road.
Brandon Pfaadt has made 23 appearances in the 2023 season, with a record of 3-9. His ERA is 5.72 and opponents are batting .279 against him. On the road, he is 1-4 with a 6.21 ERA, while at home his record stands at 2-5 and an ERA of 6.65. Teams have a slugging percentage of .528 against Pfaadt this season.
Brandon Pfaadt’s last outing against the Phillies saw him pitch 5 2/3 innings of scoreless ball, allowing only two hits. Although he did not receive the win, Pfaadt’s performance was instrumental in helping the Diamondbacks secure a 2-1 victory.
In their ten most recent games, the Diamondbacks have put together a batting average of only .208, placing them 25th compared to the rest of the league. At 4.6 runs per game, Arizona is 14th in the MLB. This figure has come on a team batting average of .250 and OPS of .730 which has them 15th in baseball.
Ketel Marte has been on a tear for the Diamondbacks over their last five games, batting .438 and leading the team in hits. For the 2023 season, Marte is hitting .276 with 82 RBIs.
WILL THE PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?
For the season, the Phillies are 90-72 overall, including going 41-40 on the road and 49-32 at home. When looking at their overall series record, Philadelphia is above .500 at 31-20-4. In the NL East, the Phillies are currently 2nd.
The Phillies will be giving the ball to Ranger Suárez, who has a record of 4-6. The lefty has been on a roll lately, with three consecutive starts yielding less than three earned runs. His ERA is currently 4.18, and his FIP is 3.90. Opposing batters have only managed to slug .408 against him this season, and he has 119 strikeouts under his belt.
Ranger Suárez’s most recent start ended in a no-decision against the Diamondbacks. He pitched 5 1/3 innings of scoreless baseball, surrendering just three hits. Despite Suárez’s impressive performance, the Phillies ultimately fell 2-1.
This season, the Phillies are 8th in the league at 4.9 runs per game. Over their last ten games, they have a combined batting average of .234 (19th) leading to 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are generating 3.1 walks per game compared to 9 strikeouts. Philadelphia’s on-base percentage of .327 has them 7th in the MLB.
Trea Turner has been a major contributor to the Philadelphia offense this season, boasting a .266 batting average and slugging .459. During the team’s last ten games, Turner has been on fire, leading the Phillies in hits and batting an impressive .369.