Going into game three of this interleague showdown, the Yankees (78-77, 41-39 home) are giving the start to Clarke Schmidt. On the other side, the Diamondbacks (82-73, 39-38 away) are rolling with Merrill Kelly. Don’t miss my prediction for today’s Arizona Diamondbacks versus New York Yankees game in New York.
ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS VS NEW YORK YANKEES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks -123
This game will be played at Yankee Stadium at 1:05 ET on Monday, September 25th.
WHY BET THE ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS:
- In their last ten games, the Diamondbacks have a record of 6-4.
- Looking at the Diamondbacks’ last five games as the underdog, they are just 2-3.
- In Merrill Kelly’s three most recent starts, the Diamondbacks are 2-1.
ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS TRYING TO CLOSE GAP IN NL WEST
Arizona comes into the game with an above .500 series record on the road at 14-8. Currently, the Diamondbacks are 2nd in the NL West with an overall record of 82-73. Against the runline, they are 85-70 and have an over/under mark of 69-79. On the road, Arizona has a runline record of 42-35.
Merrill Kelly has had a successful season so far, boasting a 12-7 record and 3.37 ERA. On the road, he has gone 7-3 with an ERA of 4.31, while at home his record is 5-4 with an ERA of 2.87. His WHIP stands at 1.20 and opponents are hitting just .215 against him, with a slugging percentage of .360.
Merrill Kelly earned the victory in his most recent start, as the Diamondbacks defeated the Giants 7-1. He pitched 6 2/3 innings of one-run ball, allowing three hits while striking out five. The quality start was a positive sign for Kelly, who is looking to build on a successful 2023 campaign.
Having gone deep 4 times in their last five games, the Diamondbacks are 8th in that span. At 4.7 runs per game, Arizona is 14th in the league. This figure has come on a team batting average of .253 while hitting a total of 163 home runs (19th).
Ketel Marte has been a major contributor to the Diamondbacks’ offense this season, leading the team with 24 home runs over their last ten games. His overall batting average of .279 is impressive, though his status is currently uncertain due to an injury report.
WILL THE NEW YORK YANKEES TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?
The Yankees’ record of 78-77 has them sitting 4th in the AL East. New York’s overall series record is 21-22-7, which includes dropping each of their last two series at home. The team’s season-long over/under record is 69-76 while going 75-80 against the runline. At Yankee Stadium, they have a runline mark of 34-46.
Today marks Clarke Schmidt’s 32nd outing of the 2023 season, with a record of 9-9 to show for it. His ERA is 4.65, and he has allowed an OBP of .314. He has struck out 143 batters and his WHIP stands at 1.33. On the road, his ERA is 6.59, while it’s 4.17 at home.
Clarke Schmidt endured a tough outing in his last start for the Yankees, as he allowed four runs on four hits over five innings against the Blue Jays, resulting in a loss for New York.
Over their last five games, the Yankees are ranked 16th in the league in scoring at 3 runs per game. Their season-long scoring average of 4.2 per contest puts them 26th in baseball. In terms of on-base percentage, New York is 19th, with an OBP currently sitting at .304. The team’s collective batting average is .226 (23rd).
Over the Yankees’ past ten contests, Aaron Judge has hit three home runs and holds a season-long total of 35. His overall batting average sits at .268.