The Coyotes and Maple Leafs are set to face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Maple Leafs will host the game at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON. The over/under for this non-conference contest is set at 6.5 goals, with the Maple Leafs being the favored by -1.5 goals against the Coyotes.

ARIZONA COYOTES VS TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5

This game will be played at Scotiabank Arena at 7:00 ET on Thursday, February 29th.

WHY BET THE TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS:

  • The Maple Leafs enter this game as 1.5-goal favorites and in our projections and we anticipate them winning by a score of 4-3.
  • Take the Maple Leafs on the moneyline
  • On the spread, we like Coyotes (+1.5)

Do the Coyotes Have What it Takes to Win as Road Underdogs?

Heading into this game, the Coyotes are 13th in the Western Conference with a record of 23-30-5. In their last ten games, they have lost all ten, and they have lost their last five games. On the road this season, Arizona is 8-16-5, and they have gone 14-20 against Western Conference opponents.

As the underdog, the Coyotes have a record of 13-28-4, and they have gone 10-2-1 when favored. Against teams in the Central Division, they have gone 8-11 this season. So far this year, they have played 58 games.

On the road this season, the Coyotes have a puck line record of 16-13, and they have gone 5-8 against the puck line when considered the favorite. For the year, Arizona has an average scoring margin of -0.4 goals per game.

So far, the Coyotes have 12 wins by multiple goals compared to 11 wins by just one goal. In their last ten games, Arizona has gone 4-6 against the puck line and 5-5 in their previous ten road games.

On average, Arizona’s games have finished with 6.2 goals per game. The season’s average over/under line stands at 6.2. In total, the Coyotes come in with an over/under record of 31-23-4.

Arizona has a 0-3 record in their last three road games. In this stretch, they averaged 2 goals per game while allowing 4. The team also performed well vs the puck line at 2-1.

On the offensive side, the Coyotes are scoring an 2.9 goals per game this season, ranking 26th in the NHL. When it came to shots on target per game, they are 30th in the league. The Coyotes went 10-5 in games where they had more shots than their opponents. However, in games with fewer shots on goal, their record was 13-22.

Arizona’s leading goal scorer is Clayton Keller. So far this season, he has 22 goals, placing him 48th in the NHL. Keller also comes into the game with 30 assists.

The Maple Leafs defense is currently 25th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 29.6 shots per game against Toronto. In terms of shutouts, they come into the game ranked 5th with 4 shutouts.

Heading into this matchup vs. Toronto, goalie Connor Ingram has started 35 games in this season. His current record is 17-14, and his save percentage stands at 0.86%.

Is It the Maple Leafs Game to Lose at Home?

At home this season, the Maple Leafs are 15-11-2 and have been favored in 48 of their 58 games. In the Eastern Conference, Toronto is 5th and 3rd in the Atlantic Division. Over their last ten games, the Maple Leafs have gone 8-2 and have won four of their last five.

Overall, the Maple Leafs are 33-17-8 and have 74 points. In the Eastern Conference, Toronto has gone 11-17 and 6-9 against Atlantic Division opponents. As the favorite, the Maple Leafs have gone 28-13-7 this season.

When it comes to puck line records, the Maple Leafs have gone 21-37 on the season and have gone 14-34 when favored. So far, they have 18 wins by multiple goals and have gone 6-4 against the puck line in their last ten games.

Overall, the team’s average scoring margin sits at +.5 goals per game. In their 48 games as the favorite, the Maple Leafs have an average scoring margin of +.6 goals per game.

This season, Toronto’s games are averaging 6.9 goals per game. Their average over/under line is 6.5. The Maple Leafs currently have an over/under record of 32-24-2.

In their last three road games, Arizona has averaged 2 goals per game while allowing 4. The team’s record in this stretch was 0-3 while going 2-1.

On offense, the Maple Leafs are averaging 3.7 goals per game which is 4th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are 6th in the league. Toronto’s offense comes into the game ranked 6th in power play goals. And in terms of shorthanded goals, they are 13th in the NHL.

Toronto will be looking for a good game from Auston Matthews who leads the team in scoring with 52 goals, ranking 1st in the NHL. Matthews also comes into the game with 25 assists.

Defensively, the Maple Leafs come into the season ranked 25th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 29.6 shots per game against Toronto. For the season, they are ranked 5th in shutouts, coming in with 4 shutouts.

Heading into this matchup vs. Arizona, goalie Ilya Samsonov has started 27 games in this season. His current record is 14-5, and his save percentage stands at 0.617%.