The Hornets and Tigers are set to face off at 5:00 ET on None. The Tigers will host the game at Fredrick C. Hobdy Assembly Center in Grambling, LA. The odds for this Southwestern Athletic conference game currently have Grambling State as the -2.5 point favorite with the over/under line sitting at 128.5 points.
ALABAMA STATE HORNETS VS GRAMBLING STATE TIGERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Grambling State Tigers -2.5
This game will be played at Fredrick C. Hobdy Assembly Center at 5:00 ET on Saturday, February 10th.
WHY BET THE GRAMBLING STATE TIGERS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-69 in favor of the Tigers.
- Not only will Grambling State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -2.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 128.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 146 points.
Can Alabama State Pull Off a Road Win?
Alabama State is 11-11 this season, including a 5-3 record in Southwestern Athletic Conference games. On the road, the Hornets are 5-8, and they have gone 4-1 in their last five road games.
As an underdog, Alabama State is just 2-10 this season, but they have gone 6-4 in their last 10 road games. Overall, the Hornets have been outscored by an average of 6.5 points per game on the road this season.
Alabama State has been one of the best teams in the country against the spread this season, going 13-5 overall. They have been even better on the road, posting a 12-1 ATS mark. Over their last 3 road games, the Hornets are 3-0 ATS and they have gone 9-0 ATS in their last 10 games away from home.
Alabama State’s over/under record for the season is 7-11 and their games have averaged 139.3 points. Today’s over/under line of 128.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games (146.2). So far, 12 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, their over/under record is 1-2 with an average scoring total of 123 points.
In their most recent game, the Alabama State offense put up just 62 points vs. the Florida A&M Rattlers. Overall, they are now averaging 69.7 points per game which is 334th in the country. The team’s top scorer is Antonio TJ Madlock, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 15.5, while CJ Hines also maintains a PPG average of 10.5 leading up to the game.
Coming into today’s game, the Alabama State defense is giving up an average of 69.2 points per contest. The Alabama State defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 53 points and allowed Florida A&M to connect on 5 threes.
Do the Tigers Stand a Chance at Home?
Grambling State enters this game as a 2.5-point favorite, and they have gone 3-2 in their five games as the favorite this season. They have a 10-12 record overall, including a 7-2 mark in Southwestern Athletic Conference games.
After their 78-67 win over Alcorn State, the Tigers have now won two games in a row. They have gone 3-2 in their last five games at home, and their record at home this season is 3-4.
Grambling State’s ATS record this season is just 9-10, including a mark of 2-5 at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Tigers have gone 6-4 vs. the spread.
This season, the over/under record for Grambling State’s games is 9-10, and today’s over/under line of 128.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this year (137). So far, 13 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1, and the average scoring total in those games is 143 points.
The Grambling State offense is coming off a game where they scored 78 points against Alcorn State. They posted a field goal percentage of 50.9% and connected on 9 threes. The top scorer for the Tigers was Jourdan Smith with 19 points, while Terrence Lewis also chipped in with 18 points.
At present, the Tigers’ defense is nationally ranked 151st, allowing 71.3 points per game. In today’s game, the Grambling State defense will be looking to once again do a good job defending the three-point line, as they gave up just 3 three-pointers while giving up 67 points.