Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Wildcats versus the Lumberjacks? Tip off is at at 11:30 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at Orleans Arena in Las Vegas, NV. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 139 points, and Stephen F. Austin is favored by -3.5 to win at home against Abilene Christian.


The Pick: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks -3.5

This game will be played at Orleans Arena at 11:30 ET on Wednesday, March 13th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Lumberjacks.
  • Not only will Stephen F. Austin pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -3.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 139 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Can the Wildcats Pull Off a Win at Las Vegas?

Abilene Christian will enter this game as the underdog, as they have been in 18 of their 31 games this season. They are 8-10 in those games and have gone 4-1 in their last five games on the road.

For the season, the Wildcats have gone 7-9 on the road, and they have an average scoring margin of -5.1 points per game. Their last game was a 74-67 loss to Utah Valley.

Abilene Christian has an overall ATS record of 16-13 this season. On the road, they have gone 10-6 vs. the spread. As the underdog, the Wildcats have a record of 11-7 vs. the spread this year. In their last three road games, Abilene Christian has gone 3-0 vs. the spread.

Abilene Christian’s over/under record this season sits at 16-12-1, and today’s line of 139 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (145.4). Overall, 20 of their games have finished with more points than 139, but in their last three contests, the average scoring total is 142 points.

Against Utah Valley, the Abilene Christian had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 73 points per game. They scored 67 points and posted a field goal percentage of 48% in the game. Ali Abdou Dibba is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 15.5. Meanwhile, Airion Simmons also brings a PPG average of 13.1 into the game.

Currently, the Wildcats’ defense holds the 231st rank in the nation, allowing 73.9 points per game. Against Utah Valley in their most recent game, the Abilene Christian defense gave up a total of 74 points while allowing Utah Valley to hit 48% of their shots.

Will Stephen F. Austin Make it Happen at Home?

Stephen F. Austin has been the favorite in 18 of their 31 games this season, going 12-6 in those games. Over their last 10 games at home, they have gone 7-3.

After their 84-71 win over Utah Tech, the Lumberjacks come into this game with a 17-14 record. They have gone 10-6 at home this season, compared to 4-8 on the road.

Stephen F. Austin has an overall ATS record of 8-20 this season. At home, their ATS mark is 6-10. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Lumberjacks are just 3-7 vs. the spread.

Stephen F. Austin’s over/under record this season sits at 14-14 and today’s line of 139 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (145.4). In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 with an average scoring total of 146 points.

Stephen F. Austin recently showcased a strong offensive performance, scoring 84 points against Utah Tech. This output exceeded their season average of 75 points per game. For the season, the Stephen F. Austin offense has been one of the more efficient shooting teams in the NCAA with a field goal percentage of 45%. So far, they have hit 50% of their looks from inside the arc, and are averaging 6 made three’s per contest.

At this time, the Lumberjacks’ defense is positioned 123rd in the country, permitting 70.5 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.6 threes per game vs. Abilene Christian. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 33.9%.