2017-18 CJ Cup Golf Betting Odds & Picks

 

Last Updated: 2017-10-17

cj cup golf betting oddsThe PGA Tour is basically a year-round thing now. We didn’t even get the usual time off prior to the wraparound portion of the schedule. Also, we have a new event crammed in between the CIMB Classic and the WGC-HSBC Champions event. That is this week’s CJ Cup at Nine Bridges Golf Club on Jeju Island in South Korea. This is a first-time event with a field of 78 players as the game continues to grow in Asia.

Obviously this is a challenging handicap with a new event and no course form data. The course is ranked among the world’s top 100 in the resort destination of Jeju Island. It is a par 72 that measures around 7200 yards. This event has hosted Wolf Club Championship events and has hosted the LPGA in the past, but it will host a PGA Tour event for the first time. This course is going to be a real adventure for the players. It is full of bridges, which means that it is full of water, mostly on the back nine. This course seems to have a few different climate and also has some of the deep, steeped bunkers that we are accustomed to seeing in European events. There are two-tiered greens and wide fairways, but errant tee shots heading towards the rough may be unplayable on some holes. Basically the entire 18th green is surrounded by sand.

This field features the top 60 players from the FedEx Cup standings at the end of the 2016-17 season, the winners of the KPGA Championship and Genesis Championship on the Korean Tour, the top three players on the Korean Tour Order of Merit as of October 2, the top player on the Asian Tour Order of Merit as of October 9, the top Korean-born player on the Asian Tour Order of Merit as of October 9, the next top three on the Official World Golf Ranking, and eight sponsor exemptions, including a Korean amateur qualifier.

With a big WGC event on the horizon, tour officials were probably expecting to see a stronger field in Korea this weekend, but they didn’t get it. That has to be a little bit disappointing, though FedEx Cup champion Justin Thomas is playing and he is the favorite at 5Dimes Sportsbook at +700. Thomas was 17th at the CIMB Classic in Malaysia last weekend with a 70-71-69-67. He got better as the weekend went on and that is a good sign heading into this event. The climate in this part of the world is very moist and humid and it takes some adjusting, both from a playing standpoint and a physical standpoint. He is a deserving favorite based on what he has done recently, but we’ll have to see how he stacks up with this new course.

Paul Casey is the second favorite at +900. No knock on Casey, but when he is the second favorite, it is a good sign that it is a bit weaker of a field. Casey finished seventh with the help of a bogey-free fourth round at TPC Kuala Lumpur. He erased an opening-round 77 with a 63-69-65 close to finish at 14-under. It was a really impressive recovery for Casey. Casey was 21st in the CIMB Classic and 12th in the WGC-HSBC last year. He was 24th at the CIMB Classic in 2015 and 23rd at the WGC-HSBC, so he’s decent in these early Asian events, but nothing special. It’s hard to back him at this price.

Jason Day is the third favorite at +1100. This will be Day’s 2017-18 debut. He played really well at the tail end of the last season with five top-25 finishes to wrap things up, including top-10 finishes at the PGA Championship, The Northern Trust, and the BMW Championship. Those were three of his five top-five finishes. He failed to get a win in his 20 events, which was a bit of a surprise, but Day had a rough year with a lot of things to tend to away from the golf course. I don’t know if he’s ready to go out and win one, but he’s had a few weeks off to work on his game and tend to other matters. Most importantly, he finished the season strong and that should give him a bit of confidence moving forward. As far as chalkier picks go, he may be worth a look.

Xander Schauffele is a guy that we picked up on real early in our DFS golf articles and in some of our previews. Now he’s +1600 after winning the TOUR Championship. He finished third at the CIMB Classic, so he didn’t do anything to push people away from him. He fired a 65-67-67-72, but it was tough for anybody to chase down Pat Perez, who won by four shots. There isn’t a whole lot of value on Schauffele at this price, but keep an eye on him in bigger fields when his price does get a little bit better.

With a new course, you’re better off throwing some darts at the board. Unfortunately, oddsmakers know that, so the prices aren’t nearly as spread out as we would normally see. There are six different guys at +4000, including Gary Woodlnd, Byeong Hun An, and Thomas Pieters. Four more are at +5000, with a bunch more at +6600, and a bunch more at +8000. Books are clearly looking to limit their spread and exposure by throwing generic prices out there when they know that bettors are going to be looking to spray some bets around with no good course form data to use.

Your best bet is to find some of those mid-range prices you like. If you want, you can really gamble on Jung-gon Hwang, the winner of the KPGA Championship, at +30000. He won that event and is one of the more accomplished Japan Golf Tour and Korean Tour players out there at just 25. The other Korean qualifier is Kim Seung-hyuk, who won the inaugural Genesis Championship running away at Jack Nicklaus Golf Club in Incheon. He won that event by eight strokes at 18-under and is the longest shot on the board at +50000.

Coverage of the CJ Cup will only be on Golf Channel. Keep the time and date difference in mind, as this event starts late Wednesday night.

Odds as of October 17, 11:30 a.m. ET

Justin Thomas +700

Paul Casey +900

Jason Day +1100

Xander Schauffele +1600

Tony Finau +2000

Marc Leishman +2000

Pat Perez +2500

Patrick Reed +2500

Keegan Bradley +2800

Adam Scott +3000

Anirban Lahiri +3300

Daniel Berger +3300

Rafa Cabrera-Bello +3300

Gary Woodland +4000

Byeong Hun An +4000

Cameron Smith +4000

Sung Kang +4000

Thomas Pieters +4000

Russell Henley +4000

Charl Schwartzel +4500

Branden Grace +5000

Chez Reavie +5000

Kevin Na +5000

Ian Poulter +5000

Lucas Glover +6000

Ollie Schniederjans +6000

Luke List +6600

Kyle Stanley +6600

James Hahn +6600

Danny Lee +6600

Bud Cauley +6600

Emiliano Grillo +8000

Adam Hadwin +8000

Jamie Lovemark +8000

Jeunghun Wang +8000

Stewart Cink +8000

Harold Varner II +8500

Grayson Murray +10000

K.J. Choi +10000

Patrick Rodgers +10000

Brian Harman +10000

Jhonattan Vegas +11500

Hudson Swafford +12000

Kevin Tway +12500

Charles Howell III +12500

Graeme McDowell +12500

Si Woo Kim +12500

Young-han Song +12500

Scott Brown +12500

Sangmoon Bae +15000

Wesley Bryan +15000

Gavin Kyle Green +15000

Chad Campbell +15000

Morgan Hoffmann +15000

Robert Streb +20000

Kelly Kraft +25000

Kyoung-Hoon Lee +25000

Jim Herman +25000

Jonas Blixt +25000

Chris Stroud +25000

Cody Gribble +25000

Jung-gon Hwang +30000

Ryan Ruffels +30000

Rod Pampling +35000

Seunghyuk Kim +50000

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