Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins Free Pick 09/20/19

The Washington Nationals will head south to Marlins Park to play their divisional rival Miami Marlins. The game gets underway 7:10 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network is in line to showcase the action.

Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins Odds

Washington (-190) is hosting this game as the favorite against Miami (+180) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this one at nine runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total sit at +100 for the over and -120 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at -135 for the Nationals -1.5 runs and +115 for the Marlins +1.5 runs.

The Nationals have gone 83-68 SU this year and are 83-68 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 4.2 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, despite having gained 10.5 units ATS. Washington is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Marlins, on the other hand, are 53-99 SU and 78-74 ATS. They’ve lost 16.9 units for moneyline bettors and 7.2 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Miami games have an over/under record of 71-69-12 in 2019. The Nationals have an over/under record of 70-73-8.

Anibal Sanchez is getting the nod for the visiting Nationals. The right-handed Sanchez is 9-8 with a 3.86 ERA and 126 strikeouts. He’s 1-1 with 14 strikeouts and a 3.31 ERA against Miami this year (three starts).

The Marlins will turn to righty Robert Dugger (0-2, 3.95 ERA), who has 18 punchouts and 13 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.35. Dugger hasn’t faced the Nationals yet this year and did not pitch in the majors in 2018.

Washington’s pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 3.55 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.67 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 5.86, along with a K-per-9 of 9.08.

The Nationals offense has slashed .263/.341/.453 on its way to 5.3 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Washington’s hitters have been paced by third baseman Anthony Rendon and left fielder Juan Soto, who collectively have belted 68 home runs. Rendon is slashing .330/.414/.622 with 34 home runs, 119 RBIs and 113 runs scored, while Soto is hitting .292 with 34 homers, 106 RBIs and 104 runs scored.

In the home-team dugout, Miami’s pitching staff has allowed 4.9 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.53 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.07 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 9.2 K/9. In 66 games against NL East foes, Marlins starters have an ERA of 5.25 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.79.

The Miami hitters have put up 3.8 runs per outing, including 3.7 per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over their last five. The team has hit .272/.337/.439 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Marlins’ hitters have been led by second baseman Starlin Castro and first baseman Miguel Rojas. Castro is slashing .268/.298/.424 with 20 home runs, 79 RBIs and 62 runs scored, and the line for Rojas stands at .285/.335/.383 with five homers, 45 RBIs and 47 runs.

The Nationals have lost 5.3 units and are 61-51 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 54 of those games, as opposed to 54 that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Marlins have lost 17.2 units and are 54-57 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 48 of those games, as opposed to 54 which went under the total.

Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Nationals, O/U – OVER