Making on a bet on this NHL game featuring the Capitals versus the Maple Leafs? The puck drops at 7:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON. The over/under for this Eastern conference contest is set at 6.5 goals, with the Maple Leafs being favored by -1.5 goals at home against the Capitals.

WASHINGTON CAPITALS VS TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5

This game will be played at Scotiabank Arena at 7:00 ET on Thursday, March 28th.

WHY BET THE TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS:

  • The Maple Leafs enter this game as 1.5-goal favorites and in our projections and we anticipate them winning by a score of 4-3.
  • Take the Maple Leafs on the moneyline
  • On the spread, we like Capitals (+1.5)

Do the Capitals Have a Shot at a Road Win?

With a record of 36-26-9, the Capitals are currently in 4th place in the Metropolitan Division and 8th in the Eastern Conference. In their last ten games, Washington has gone 7-3 and have won three straight games. On the road this season, the Capitals are 16-15-4.

As the underdog, Washington has gone 22-23-7 this season and 4-1 in their last five games. Against Eastern Conference opponents, the Capitals have a record of 21-18.

Washington comes into the game with a puck line record of 35-36 this season and a road puck line record of 17-18. Their average scoring margin for the year sits at -0.4 goals per game.

So far, the Capitals have been the underdog in 52 games and have a puck line mark of 30-22 in those contests. They have 18 wins this year by multiple goals and have gone 6-4 against the puck line in their last ten games.

This season, Washington’s games have an average of 5.9 goals per game. The average over/under number for the season is 6. The Capitals come in with an over/under performance of 33-35-3.

When looking at their past three road matchups, Washington has an puck line record of 3-0 while averaging 3 per game. The team went 3-0 overall in these games.

On offense, the Capitals are averaging 2.7 goals per game which is 27th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are 31st in the league. The Washington offense is ranked 21st in power play goals. As for shorthanded goals, they find themselves at 32nd in the NHL.

Washington will be looking for a good game from Alex Ovechkin who leads the team in scoring with 26 goals, ranking 43rd in the NHL. In addition to his goal scoring, Ovechkin has 32 assists this season.

Defensively, the Maple Leafs are currently 20th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 29.8 shots per game against Toronto. They also are 15th in shutouts, coming in with 4 shutouts.

Goalie Charlie Lindgren gets the start and has made 38 starts this season. His record at this point is 21-12, and his save percentage is 0.8%.

Is It the Maple Leafs Game to Lose at Home?

At home this season, the Maple Leafs have gone 19-13-3 and have been favored in 57 of their 71 games. In the Eastern Conference, Toronto is currently in 5th place, and in the Atlantic Division, they are 3rd. Over their last ten games, the Maple Leafs have gone 5-5, and they have lost their last two games.

Overall, Toronto has a record of 40-22-9, and they have gone 16-23 against other teams in the Eastern Conference. When favored, the Maple Leafs have gone 34-16-7.

Overall, the Maple Leafs have a puck line record of 27-44, including a mark of 17-40 when favored. So far, they have had 22 wins by multiple goals and 18 wins by just one goal.

At home, Toronto has a puck line record of 12-23, and their average scoring margin for the season is +.5 goals per game. In their last 10 home games, the Leafs have a puck line record of 4-6.

The average goal total for Toronto’s games is sitting at 6.9. The average over/under line for the season is 6.5. The Maple Leafs come in with an over/under record of 39-30-2.

In their last three road games, Washington has averaged 3 goals per game while allowing 1. The team’s record in this stretch was 3-0 while going 3-0 vs. the spread.

On offense, the Maple Leafs are averaging 3.6 goals per game which is 3rd in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are 7th in the league. The Maple Leafs went 21-11 in games where they had more shots than their opponents. However, in games with fewer shots on goal, their record was 17-9.

Toronto’s leading goal scorer is Auston Matthews. So far this season, he has 59 goals, placing him 1st in the NHL. Along with his scoring, he has come up with 34 assists so far.

Defensively, the Maple Leafs are currently 20th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 29.8 shots per game against Toronto. They also are 15th in shutouts, coming in with 4 shutouts.

Goalie Joseph Woll comes into the game having made 19 starts this season. So far, his record is 10-9 and he has a save percentage of 0.555%.