The Commodores and Razorbacks are set to face off at 7:00 ET on SECN. The Razorbacks will host the game at Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, TN. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 148.5 points, and Arkansas is favored by -6 to win at home against Vanderbilt.


The Pick: Arkansas Razorbacks -6

This game will be played at Bridgestone Arena at 7:00 ET on Wednesday, March 13th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Razorbacks.
  • Not only will Arkansas pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -6.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 148.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Is an Upset Waiting to Happen on the Road?

Despite a 9-22 record, Vanderbilt has been the underdog in 23 of their 31 games this season, going 4-19 in those matchups. The Commodores’ record on the road this season is just 1-10, and their average scoring margin in those games is -14.0.

In their last game, Vanderbilt defeated Florida by a score of 79-78. Over their last 10 games on the road, the Commodores have gone just 1-9.

Against the spread, Vanderbilt has gone 14-16-1 this season. On the road, their ATS record is 5-5-1. As the underdog, the Commodores have gone 11-11-1 vs. the spread. Over their last three road games, Vandy is 3-0 ATS.

This season, the over/under record for Vanderbilt games is 11-20. So far, the average over/under line in their games is 143.3 and their games have had an average of 142.8 points. Today’s over/under line of 148.5 is higher than the average scoring total in their games this season. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 154 points.

Coming off a good offensive performance, Vanderbilt’s offense scored 79 points against Florida. Their field goal percentage for the game was 35.5%, and they went 19/20 from the free-throw line. Ezra Manjon is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 14.2 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Tyrin Lawrence brings a PPG average of 14.1 into the game.

Coming into today’s game, the Vanderbilt defense is giving up an average of 75.4 points per contest. The Vanderbilt defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 78 points and allowed Florida to connect on 6 threes.

Are the Razorbacks Ready for a Home Win?

Arkansas has been much better at home this season, going 13-6 compared to 2-9 on the road. As a result, they have a point differential of +2.8 at home compared to -9.7 on the road.

On the season, Arkansas has been favored in 14 games and has gone 11-3 in those contests. Their overall record is 15-16, and they are 6-11 in Southeastern Conference play.

Arkansas has an ATS record of 12-18 this season, going 8-11 vs. the spread at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Razorbacks are 4-6 ATS.

This season, the over/under record for Arkansas games is 22-8. Today’s over/under line of 148.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this year (150.4). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 189 points.

Arkansas’ offense is coming off a strong performance, scoring 94 points against LSU. They had an overall field goal percentage of 60.8% and made 27/33 free throws. The team’s top scorer is Tramon Mark, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 16.7, while Khalif Battle also maintains a PPG average of 14.3 leading up to the game.

Facing Vanderbilt, Arkansas aims for a better defensive performance, given their current average of 79.6 points allowed per game (326th). In today’s game, the Arkansas defense will be looking to once again do a good job defending the three-point line, as they gave up just 5 three-pointers while giving up 83 points.