At 5:00 ET, the Miami Heat (-321) will host the Utah Jazz (+255) in a non-conference matchup. The Heat are favored by 7.5 points and the over/under is 225.

Miami is 33-26 and currently 7th in the Eastern Conference. The Jazz are 27-33 and 11th in the Western Conference. Tip-off will be at the Kaseya Center in Miami and can be seen on NBA TV.

UTAH JAZZ VS MIAMI HEAT BETTING PICK

The Pick: Miami Heat -7.5

This game will be played at Kaseya Center at 5:00 ET on Saturday, March 2nd.

WHY BET THE MIAMI HEAT:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 142-112 in favor of the Heat.
  • Our projections have Terry Rozier finishing with Terry Rozier points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Heat finishing with a field goal percentage of 46.0% and knocking down 15 threes.

Will the Jazz Come Through as Road Underdogs?

Utah’s O/U record for the season is 32-27-1, and the team has hit the under in their last four games. Today’s O/U line is set at 225 points, which is lower than the season average of 237.9 points per game.

The Jazz’s ATS record for the season is 32-28, and they have failed to cover the spread in their last two games. On the road, Utah is 13-18 ATS compared to 19-10 ATS at home.

This season, Utah has been the underdog in 43 of their 60 games. As the underdog, they have an ATS record of 21-22 and are 15-28 straight-up. Utah has been the underdog in their last five games.

In their last game, the Jazz lost to the Magic by a score of 115-107. The O/U line for that game was 225.5 points, and Utah was a 7.5-point underdog going into the game.

Utah is currently 11th in the Western Conference with a record of 27-33. Against the West, they are 14-22 and 5-6 against their division. On the road, the Jazz are 9-22, and they are 15-28 as the underdog.

This season, the Jazz are averaging 117.5 points per game, which is 10th in the NBA. However, on the road, they are only scoring 112.1 points per game.

So far, the Jazz have outscored the NBA scoring average in 58.3% of their games. In terms of pace, they are 7th in the league at 100.3 possessions per game.

When it comes to three-point shooting, Utah is 12th in the NBA with 13.3 made threes per game. Overall, they are shooting 35% from beyond the arc.

Coming into the game, the Jazz will be looking to improve their defense, as they are currently giving up 120.4 points per game (25th). On two point field goal attempts, the Jazz’s defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 54.7% and allowing 38.9% from beyond the arc.

Can The Heat Secure a Home Victory?

Miami’s last game finished with a combined score of 200 points, which was well below the O/U line of 214.5. This was the Heat’s second straight game that finished below the O/U line.

Against the spread, Miami has covered the spread in their last three games and have an overall ATS record of 29-27. At home, they are 12-16 ATS compared to 17-11 ATS on the road.

As the favorite, Miami has a record of 23-10 this season and are favored by 7.5 points today. The Heat have been the favorite in 33 of their 59 games this season.

In the Eastern Conference standings, the Heat are currently in 7th place with a record of 33-26. In the Southeast Division, they are in 2nd place.

On average, the Heat’s games have seen a combined scoring total of 220.1 points, which is lower than today’s O/U line of 225. This season, Miami has an O/U record of 22-37.

In their last game, the Heat lost to the Nuggets by a score of 103-97. Miami covered the spread as 6.5-point underdogs.

This season, the Heat have been a below-average offensive team, averaging 110.4 points per game, which is 27th in the NBA. However, when playing at home, they are averaging 113.1 points per game.

So far, the Heat have outscored the NBA scoring average in just 33.9% of their games. In terms of pace, they are 28th in the league, averaging 96.3 possessions per game.

When it comes to three-point shooting, Miami is 17th in the NBA in made threes per game, hitting an average of 12.4. Overall, they are 9th in three-point shooting percentage at 37%.

Coming into today’s game, the Heat’s defense is giving up an average of 109.7 points per contest. Miami’s defense is currently forcing 12.3 turnovers per game, which is 10th in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 30th in blocked shots, with an average of 3.3 rejections per game.