The Trojans will face the Blue Devils in this week 1 CFB game, airing on ABC at 12:00 (12/23/23). The contest is set to occur at Protective Stadium in Birmingham (AL). This non-conference showdown features the Trojans as 7 point favorites to grab the win. Is betting on them to cover the spread the right call, or is there better value with the Blue Devils? Keep reading to find out.

TROY TROJANS VS DUKE BLUE DEVILS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Troy Trojans -7

This game will be played at Protective Stadium at 12:00 ET on Saturday, December 23rd.

WHY BET THE TROY TROJANS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 28-19 in favor of Troy.
  • Not only will Troy pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -7.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 45 points, and we like the over with a projected 47 points.

Do the Trojans Have a Shot at a Road Win?

The Troy Trojans take on the Duke with a 11-2 record, including 5-1 on the road and 5-1 at home.

Troy has gone into 10 games as the favorite this season and two games as the underdog. Their ATS record is currently 8-4.

So far in this season, Troy has posted an over/under record of 5-7. On average, their matchups have yielded a combined score of 48.3 points, with the typical over/under line set at 49 points.

Troy’s offense is averaging 31.2 points per game, which ranks them 29th in the NCAA. Through the air, they’re at 267.1 passing yards on average, putting them at 20th in the nation. Their rushing attack is currently 52nd in rushing yards, with an average of 456 rushing attempts per game this season.

This season, the Trojans’ defense has allowed 103.8 rushing yards per game, ranking 197th. Opponents average 202.9 passing yards, and opposing quarterbacks have put together a passer rating of 80 against Troy. They hold the 93rd position in NCAA points allowed.

Do the Blue Devils Stand a Chance at Home?

So far, the Duke Blue Devils are 7-5, including going 1-3 on the road and 5-1 at home.

Duke’s average scoring differential for the season is +8 leading to an ATS mark of 5-5. The Blue Devils have been favored six times and the underdog in four games

This season, Duke has an over/under record of 6-4. Their games have, on average, produced a combined total of 47.5 points, with the typical over/under line being 47.1 points.

On offense, the Blue Devils come in with the 78th ranked offense in terms of passing attempts and are averaging 181.3 passing yards per game. In the running game, they are 66th in terms of attempts.

Defensively, the Blue Devils enter the game with 27 sacks and ranked 1st in QB hurries. They’ve allowed 19.8 points per game thus far this season (66th). In terms of pass defense, they’re 63rd in the NCAA, giving up 208.2 passing yards per game. Against the run, Duke has allowed 146.8 rushing yards per contest thus far.