The Golden State Warriors (14-48) look to end a nine-game home losing streak when they clash against the Toronto Raptors (43-18) at Chase Center. Toronto opened as a 10.5-point favorite, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 226 points. Action gets underway at 10:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, March 5, 2020, and it can be seen on TNT.
Toronto Raptors vs. Golden State Warriors Free Preview
The last time the Raptors played, they defeated the Phoenix Suns, 123-114, covering as 4-point favorites. With 19 points and 15 rebounds, Toronto’s Chris Boucher played well. Toronto dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 23.7 (above their season average of 21.8) and a free throw rate of 0.337 (above their season average of 0.200). For those same stats, Phoenix had marks of 13.6 and 0.247, respectively. The two teams combined to score 237 points, which was over the O/U total of 225.5.
The Warriors come in on a high note after topping the Denver Nuggets in their last matchup, 116-100, as 16-point underdogs. Andrew Wiggins was a key piece for Golden State with 22 points, 10 assists and five rebounds. The Warriors, who came into the game averaging an effective field goal percentage of 0.493, had an absurd mark of 0.622 and had a turnover percentage of 10.7 (better than their season average of 12.9). Combined, the two teams scored 216 points, which finished just under the projected point total of 218.5.
This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams, after the Raptors won six out of eight contests last season. In the last game, Toronto won 114-110. Toronto had a better turnover percentage (11.2 vs. 14.7). Golden State, on the other hand, had a better offensive rebounding percentage (28.2 vs. 26.2).
Of Toronto’s 61 games, 32 have finished over the projected point total, while 35 of Golden State’s 62 games have finished under the O/U total. The Raptors come into this game with much better straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records. They are 43-18 SU and 33-27-1 ATS, while the Warriors are 14-48 SU and 28-33-1 ATS.
Golden State might have difficulty putting up points as they battle against one of the league’s best defenses. Toronto currently ranks second in defensive efficiency, while the Warriors rank 30th in offensive efficiency.
Toronto Raptors vs. Golden State Warriors Prediction
Free Pick: SU Winner – Raptors, ATS Winner – Warriors, O/U – Under
The Raptors rank seventh in three pointers attempted per game (36.8) while the Warriors rank 25th (30.9).
Toronto averages 45.3 rebounds per game, which ranks 13th in the NBA. Golden State ranks 26th in rebounds allowed per game (46.7).
Toronto ranks second in points allowed in the paint per game (42.0) while Golden State ranks 18th (49.0).
Toronto ranks 24th in second chance points per game (12.2) while Golden State ranks 26th (12.0).
Toronto is 15-13-1 ATS on the road with 14 overs, 14 unders and 1 push.
Golden State is 11-19-1 ATS at home with 18 unders and 13 overs.
Toronto is 14-4 when they allow under 100 points, while Golden State is 6-2.
In games where they score over 100 points, the Raptors are 41-10 and the Warriors are 14-31.
The Raptors rank 12th in assists per game (25.4) while the Warriors rank 28th in assists allowed per game (26.0).
Toronto averages 8.8 steals per game, which ranks second in the NBA. Golden State ranks 27th in steals allowed per game (8.4).
The Raptors rank second in points off turnovers per game (19.9) while the Warriors rank 26th in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.1).
The Raptors average 5.0 blocks per game, which ranks 13th in the league. The Warriors rank 15th in blocks allowed per game (5.1).
Toronto averages 19.2 fast break points per game, which ranks second in the league. Golden State ranks 25th in fast break points allowed per game (14.9).
Golden State is 2-3 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over in its last five games.
Across its past five games, Toronto is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
The Warriors’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 6.0, down from 8.7 for the season.
During their last five games, the Raptors have scored an average of 112.2 points per game (0.8 below their season average) and allowed an average of 107.0 points per game (0.4 above their season average).