The Toronto Blue Jays will square off against their division rival New York Yankees. The first pitch is scheduled for 1:05 p.m. ET and YES Network will be televising the matchup.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees Odds

Oddsmakers are listing New York (-310) as the favorite over Toronto (+255). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds posted at -115 for over 9.5 runs and -105 for under 9.5. The game’s most recent runline odds sit at +125 for taking the Blue Jays +1.5 runs and -145 for the Yankees -1.5.

The Blue Jays are 63-92 SU and are 78-76 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 13.7 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 3.3 units ATS. Toronto has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Yankees, on the other hand, are 101-55 SU and 89-66 ATS. The team has gained 17.1 units for moneyline bettors and 23.4 units ATS. New York has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.

Yankees games have an 82-68-5 over/under record in 2019. The Blue Jays have an over/under record of 71-74-9.

Trent Thornton is getting the start for the visiting Blue Jays. The right-handed Thornton is 5-9 with a 4.93 ERA and 138 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with 14 strikeouts and a 6.28 ERA against New York this year (three starts).

The Yankees will turn to righty Luis Severino (0-0, 0.00 ERA), who has four strikeouts and two walks, in addition to a 1.00 WHIP. Severino hasn’t faced the Blue Jays yet this year, but he made four starts against them in 2018, putting together a spotless 4-0 record with a 2.38 ERA and 26 strikeouts.

Toronto’s pitching staff allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 5.23 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 7.46 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.30, along with a WHIP of 1.49.

The Blue Jays offense has slashed .237/.306/.426 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).

Outfielder Randal Grichuk and third baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. continue to lead Toronto’s offense. Grichuk is hitting .233/.281/.458 with 30 home runs, 76 RBIs and 72 runs scored. Guerrero Jr. has a .276 average with 15 homers, 68 RBIs and 51 runs scored.

For the home team, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game overall in 2019. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.52, a WHIP of 1.29 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.0. The bullpen has a 4.02 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 10.1 K/9. In 73 games against divisional opponents, Yankees starters have an ERA of 4.28 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.98.

The New York hitters are putting up 5.9 runs per contest, including 6.4 per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .250/.324/.488 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Second baseman DJ LeMahieu and shortstop Gleyber Torres have led the Yankees’ batters this year. LeMahieu is hitting .328/.376/.518 with 25 home runs, 97 RBIs and 106 runs scored, while Torres has put up a line of .284/.343/.546 with 38 homers, 90 RBIs and 96 runs.

The Blue Jays have lost 15.1 units and are 53-50 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 49 of those games, compared to 47 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Yankees have netted 12.1 units and are 58-47 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 56 of those games, as opposed to 46 that’ve cashed the under.

Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankees Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Blue Jays, O/U – OVER


Betting Notes

The under has cashed in only one of Toronto’s last seven games.

New York has recorded 25.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.2 over its last five.

The Blue Jays have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.

The Blue Jays have an OPS of .732 this season and an OPS of .730 against right-handed pitchers. The Yankees’ OPS sits at .835 overall and .827 against righties.