Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Lions and Demons. The game is starting at 8:30 ET on ESPN+, and it’s hosted by the Demons at The Legacy Center in Lake Charles, LA. Get ready to place your bets! Texas A&M-Commerce is favored by -1 in this Southland conference matchup the against Northwestern State. The over/under for the game is set at 136.5 points.

TEXAS A&M-COMMERCE LIONS VS NORTHWESTERN STATE DEMONS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Northwestern State Demons +1

This game will be played at The Legacy Center at 8:30 ET on Sunday, March 10th.

WHY BET THE NORTHWESTERN STATE DEMONS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-68 in favor of the Demons.
  • Not only will Northwestern State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +1.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 136.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Do the Lions Have a Shot at a Win at Lake Charles?

Through 31 games, Texas A&M-Commerce has gone 12-19. In Southland Conference play, they have a record of 4-12, compared to 8-7 in non-conference games.

On the road, the Lions have gone 3-12 this season. Their average scoring margin on the road is -15.9 points per game.

As the favorite this season, the Lions have gone 4-3 vs. the spread. On the road, their ATS record is 5-10, but they have gone 2-1 in their last three road games. Overall, their ATS mark is 11-15.

This season, the over/under record for Texas A&M-Commerce games is 11-15, and today’s line of 136.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games (141.4). So far, 11 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1, and the average scoring total in those games is 156 points.

The Texas A&M-Commerce offense is coming off a game where they scored 53 points against Lamar. They posted a field goal percentage of 35.8% and connected on 5 threes. On the offensive front, the Lions have a season-long field goal percentage of 41%, ranking 362nd nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 353rd in terms of percentage and 42nd in three-pointers made.

At present, the Lions’ defense is nationally ranked 251st, allowing 75.0 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Texas A&M-Commerce’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 43.7% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 33.2% this season.

Will Northwestern State Find a Way to Win at Home?

Northwestern State has struggled at home this season, as they have gone just 4-7. Over their last 10 games at home, they have gone 5-5.

Overall, the Demons have gone 9-22 this season, including a 7-9 record in Southland Conference games.

As the underdog this season, Northwestern State has gone 10-13 vs. the spread. At home, their ATS record is 5-6, including a mark of 1-2 in their last three games.

On the season, the over/under record for Northwestern State games is 14-13, and today’s over/under line of 136.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (146.4). So far, 10 of their games have finished with less points than today’s OU line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total is 150 points.

Coming off their recent game, the Northwestern State offense tallied 62 points in a matchup against Nicholls. Their field goal percentage for the game was 33.9%, and they made 5 threes. Offensively, the Demons hold a season-long field goal percentage of 43%, placing them 291st in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 343rd in terms of percentage and 281st in three-pointers made.

At this time, the Demons’ defense is positioned 273rd in the country, permitting 76.1 points per game. The Northwestern State defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 68 points and allowed Nicholls to connect on 5 threes.