Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Horned Frogs and Aggies. The game is starting at 9:55 ET on TBS, and it’s hosted by the Aggies at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, IN. Get ready to place your bets! TCU is the -3.5 point favorites in this non-conference matchup against Utah State. The over/under for the game is set at 148.5 points.


The Pick: Utah State Aggies +3.5

This game will be played at Gainbridge Fieldhouse at 9:55 ET on Friday, March 22nd.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 74-70 in favor of the Aggies.
  • Not only will Utah State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +3.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 148.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Taking a Look at the Horned Frogs Chances in Indianapolis

In today’s game against Utah State, TCU comes in with a 20-11 overall record. When playing away from home, the Horned Frogs have a 8-6 record this year, while going 13-6 on their home court. TCU has a positive ATS record, sitting above .500 at 19-14. In their last ten games, TCU is 2-3 ATS.

Up to this point, games involving TCU have had an average of 150.5 points per game, with the average over/under line set at 148.4 points. Their over/under record is 18-15-0. The Horned Frogs’ last five games have culminated with an average of 148 points per game and an over/under record of 4-1.

In their most recent game, the TCU offense put up just 45 points vs. the Houston Cougars. Overall, they are now averaging 79.2 points per game which is 58th in the country. Emanuel Miller is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 15.9. Meanwhile, Jameer Nelson Jr. also brings a PPG average of 11.4 into the game.

In terms of defense, TCU is currently on par with the NCAA average for points allowed, giving up an average of 71.2 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.5 threes per game vs. Utah State. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 32.5%.

Will the Aggies Pull Through as the Home Underdog?

At the time of this game, the Aggies have a 26-5 record, with their most recent game being a loss to San Diego State (86-70). In away games, the Aggies have a 10-3 record this season, while they are 15-3 on their home court. Utah State’s record vs. the spread heading into today’s game stands at 15-15-1. This includes a 6-6-1 record on the road vs. the spread and a 9-9 record at home.

After 31 games, Utah State has an over/under record of 19-12-0, with their games averaging a combined 149.6 points per game so far. The Aggies have seen their last five games conclude with a collective average of 156 points per game and an over/under record of 4-1.

In contrast to their season average of 79.8 points per game, the Utah State had a below average performance. They scored 70 points against San Diego State and had a field goal percentage of 40%. Great Osobor is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 18 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Ian Martinez brings a PPG average of 13.1 into the game.

At present, the Aggies’ defense is nationally ranked 136th, allowing 70.7 points per game. Against San Diego State in their most recent game, the Utah State defense gave up a total of 86 points while allowing San Diego State to hit 40% of their shots.