Heading into game four of this AL East matchup, the Orioles (92-56, 44-30 home) will send Dean Kremer to the mound against the Rays (92-58, 42-33 away) and Zack Littell. Check out my pick for today’s Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles game in Baltimore.
TAMPA BAY RAYS VS BALTIMORE ORIOLES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Tampa Bay Rays +104
This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards at 1:35 ET on Sunday, September 17th.
WHY BET THE TAMPA BAY RAYS:
- In their last ten games, the Rays have a record of 7-3.
- Over their last ten games on the road, Tampa Bay has a straight-up record of 6-4.
- Dean Kremer has struggled of late, coming in with an ERA of 5.19 over his last two starts.
TAMPA BAY RAYS LOOK TO CONTINUE WINNING WAYS ON THE ROAD
Leading up to today’s game, the Rays are 2nd in the AL East on a record of 92-58. Overall, they have played in 47 different series, going 29-12-6. When playing above .500 teams, the Rays are 92-58, and currently hold win percentages of 66.7% at home and 56.0% on the road.
Zack Littell will take the mound for the Tampa Bay Rays with a 3-6 record. Through 25 appearances, his ERA is 4.25 and his K/9 is 7.35. His FIP is 4.21 and opponents have a .284 OBP against him this season.
Zack Littell will look to carry the momentum of his last start into his next outing, in which he pitched seven innings and allowed three earned runs on five hits. Unfortunately, the Rays were unable to come away with a win, losing 3-2 to the Twins.
This season, the Rays are 4th in the league at 5.3 runs per game. Over their last ten games, they have a combined batting average of .244 (13th) leading to 4.5 runs per contest. Overall, they are generating 3.1 walks per game compared to 8 strikeouts. Tampa Bay’s on-base percentage of .330 has them 5th in the MLB.
The Rays’ Yandy Díaz is the team’s leader in hits, boasting a .322 batting average. His impressive stats continue with a .507 SLG% and .400 OBP entering the game.
WILL THE BALTIMORE ORIOLES TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?
So far this season, Baltimore has played in 46 series, going 29-14-3. Their current record of 92-56 is good for first place in the AL East. On the road, the Orioles have gone 48-26 compared to 44-30 at home.
Dean Kremer has been a reliable starter for the Orioles in 2023, boasting an impressive 12-5 record. He has made 29 appearances and his ERA stands at 4.25, with a K/9 of 7.98 and FIP of 4.65. Opponents have had difficulty getting on base against Kremer, as evidenced by his .313 OBP.
Dean Kremer’s most recent start against the Cardinals saw him surrender five runs on seven hits over 4 1/3 innings. Although he was not credited with the victory or defeat, the Orioles emerged triumphant with an 11-5 scoreline.
Over their last five games, the Orioles are ranked 17th in the league in scoring at 2.8 runs per game. Their season-long scoring average of 5.1 per contest puts them 6th in baseball. In terms of on-base percentage, Baltimore is 10th, with an OBP currently sitting at .323. The team’s collective batting average is .257 (7th).
The Orioles’ Adley Rutschman has been their offensive leader this season, boasting a .267 batting average. His SLG% stands at .414 and his OBP is .364 entering the game.