Planning on watching today’s Lightning and Golden Knights game? Catch the action at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV, as the Golden Knights hosts this showdown at 10:00 ET on ESPN+. The over/under goal line for this matchup is currently at 6.5 goals, and the Golden Knights are favored by -1.5 vs. the Lightning.


The Pick: Vegas Golden Knights -1.5

This game will be played at T-Mobile Arena at 10:00 ET on Tuesday, March 19th.


  • Despite being 1.5 goal underdogs, we predict the Lightning to come out on top with a final score of 4-2.
  • We like the Lightning on the moneyline (+114)
  • The Lightning are also our pick on the spread at +1.5

Can The Lightning Secure a Road Victory?

On the year, the Tampa Bay Lightning have gone 36-25-6, and they are currently in 6th place in the Eastern Conference standings. In the Atlantic Division, the Lightning are in 4th place. Over their last three games, Tampa Bay has won each contest.

When playing on the road, Tampa Bay has gone 15-16-2, and they have been the underdog in 28 of their 67 games this year. Against other teams in the Eastern Conference, the Lightning have gone 20-19, and they have gone 8-11 against divisional opponents. Heading into the game, Tampa Bay has 78 points.

When playing on the road, Tampa Bay’s puck line record this season is 15-18, and their average scoring margin is -.5 goals per game. So far, the Lightning have won 26 games by more than one goal.

Across their last 10 games, Tampa Bay’s puck line record is 5-5, and they have gone 6-4 vs. the puck line in their previous ten road games. Overall, the Lightning have a puck line record of 34-33, including going 17-22 when favored.

For the season, the average number of goals per game in matchups featuring Tampa Bay is 6.9. The season’s average over/under line is currently at 6.5. The Lightning come in with an over/under record of 33-30-4.

Across their last three road contests, Tampa Bay has been good against the puck line posting a mark of 2-1. Their overall mark in these games was 2-1, while averaging 3 goals per game.

On offense, the Lightning are averaging 3.5 goals per game which is 5th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are 23rd in the league. This season, the Lightning are 21-12 when getting more shots on goal than their opponents. And in games with fewer shots on goal, they have a 14-11 record.

Tampa Bay’s leading goal scorer is Nikita Kucherov. So far this season, he has 40 goals, placing him 6th in the NHL. Along with his scoring, he has come up with 74 assists so far.

Vegas defense takes on the Lightning ranked 11th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are averaging 30.7 shots per game against Vegas. They also are 20th in shutouts, with 3 shutouts.

Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy comes into the game having made 41 starts this season. So far, his record is 24-16 and he has a save percentage of 0.827%.

Will Vegas Find a Way to Win at Home?

At home this season, the Vegas Golden Knights have been a strong team, going 21-10-2. In the Western Conference, they are in 8th place and 4th in the Pacific Division. Over their last ten games, the Golden Knights have gone 4-6, and they are 36-24-7 overall. On the year, Vegas has been favored in 43 of their 67 games and have gone 23-16-4 in those games.

Over their last five games, the Golden Knights have gone 3-2, and they have won their last two games at home. Against Western Conference teams, Vegas has gone 22-15 this season. On the year, the Golden Knights have scored 79 points, and they are 13-8-3 when they have been the underdog.

So far this season, the Golden Knights have an average scoring margin of +.2 goals per game. In their 67 games, they have had 22 wins by multiple goals and 14 wins by just one goal. Overall, their puck line record is at 33-34.

At home, Vegas has gone 17-16 against the puck line, and their average scoring margin is at +.7 goals per game. In their last 10 games at home, the Golden Knights have gone 5-5 against the puck line. So far this season, they have been favored in 43 of their games, and their puck line record as the favorite is 15-28.

This season, Vegas’ games are averaging 6.2 goals per game. Their average over/under line is 6.1. The Golden Knights currently have an over/under record of 33-34-0.

Tampa Bay has played well in their previous three road games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 3 goals per game while allowing 3. The team also performed well vs the puck line at 2-1.

The Golden Knights come into the game scoring an average of 3.2 goals per game, putting them 15th in the NHL. Regarding shots targeted at the goal per game, they are 15th in the league. Vegas’ offense comes into the game ranked 18th in power play goals. And in terms of shorthanded goals, they are 9th in the NHL.

The leading scorer for Vegas’ offense is Jonathan Marchessault. Coming into the game he has 37 goals, ranking 8th in the NHL. Marchessault also comes into the game with 21 assists.

Defensively, the Golden Knights come into the season ranked 11th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 30.7 shots per game against Vegas. For the season, they are ranked 20th in shutouts, coming in with 3 shutouts.

Heading into this matchup vs. Tampa Bay, goalie Adin Hill has started 30 games in this season. His current record is 17-9, and his save percentage stands at 0.691%.