At 7:00 ET, the Jaguars and Bobcats face each other at Bobcat Stadium (TX) in a week 13 NCAAF contest. NFLN will broadcast the game, scheduled for Saturday, November 25th. This week’s Sun Belt clash features the Jaguars as 5 point road favorites. Can they secure a win on the road and cover the spread?
SOUTH ALABAMA JAGUARS VS TEXAS STATE BOBCATS BETTING PICK
The Pick: South Alabama Jaguars -5
This game will be played at Bobcat Stadium (TX) at 7:00 ET on Saturday, November 25th.
WHY BET THE SOUTH ALABAMA JAGUARS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 33-27 in favor of South Alabama.
- Not only will South Alabama pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 58 points, and we like the over with a projected 60 points.
Will the Jaguars Defense Show Up on the Road?
With a 6-5 record, the South Alabama Jaguars take on Texas State. Their road record so far is (2-3) and at home (3-2).
Heading into this week’s matchup with Texas State, the Jaguars have been favored in seven games and the underdog in three. Their ATS mark coming into the game is 4-6.
South Alabama has put together an over/under record of 5-5 throughout this season. The average combined score in their games has been 48.9 points, and the standard over/under line has stood at 49.6 points.
The Jaguars come into their matchup vs. Texas State 48th in college football at 396 rushing attempts per game. This has translated to an average of 167.7 rushing yards per game, placing them 55th nationally. Additionally, they’ve been airing it out 31.5 times each game, accumulating an average of 252.7 passing yards. In terms of scoring, they stand 45th, with 29.7 points per game.
The Jaguars defense faces off against Texas State with 24 sacks and are 1st in QB hurries. When it comes to points allowed, they’re giving up 19.2 points per game which is 69th in the nation. Against the pass, they’re 45th in the NCAA, allowing 195.3 passing yards per game. South Alabama’s run defense is yielding 117.5 rushing yards per contest.
Will the Bobcats Pull Through as the Home Underdog?
So far, the Texas State Bobcats are 6-5, including going 2-4 on the road and 4-1 at home.
So far, Texas State has been favored seven times and the underdog in four games. This has led to an ATS record of 5-6 and an average scoring differential of +1.6.
Over 11 games, the average over/under line for Texas State’s games has been 61.2 points. The total score in these matchups has averaged 67.5 points, resulting in an OU record of 4-6-1.
The Bobcats are currently ranked 16th in college football with 443 rushing attempts per game. In terms of rush yards, they are at 198.5 rushing yards per game, which is 17th in the nation. Looking at their production in the passing game, they are averaging 33.8 attempts per game and gain an average of 272.9 passing yards. Overall, they hold the 20th spot with 34.5 points per game.
Texas State’s defense is ranked 71st in passing yards allowed per game as they prepare for this matchup. Opponents have attempted an average of 31.5 passing attempts against the Bobcats. They have given up 32.9 points per game so far, placing them 138th in college football. In the NCAA’s rush defense category, they are 115th.