Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Mustangs and Blazers. The game is starting at 3:00 ET on ESPN+, and it’s hosted by the Blazers at Bartow Arena in Birmingham, AL. Get ready to place your bets! The over/under for this game is set at 152.5 points, and UAB is favored by -1.5 vs. SMU in a American Athletic conference matchup.


The Pick: UAB Blazers -1.5

This game will be played at Bartow Arena at 3:00 ET on Sunday, March 10th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 74-70 in favor of the Blazers.
  • Not only will UAB pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -1.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 152.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Does SMU Have A Chance at Bartow Arena?

SMU will be looking to snap their three-game losing streak when they take on UAB as 1.5-point underdogs. The Mustangs’ overall record this season is 20-10, including a 10-6 mark in American Athletic Conference play.

On the road this season, SMU has gone 6-7 compared to their 12-3 record at home. Their average scoring margin on the road is +4.2 compared to +14.4 at home. So far, the Mustangs have been the underdogs in seven games, going just 1-6 in those contests.

SMU has an ATS record of 14-13-1 this season and they are 8-5 vs. the spread on the road. As the underdog, the Mustangs have gone 3-4 vs. the spread this year and their last 10 underdog ATS mark is 4-6. On the road, SMU is 6-4 vs. the spread in their last 10 games.

This season, the over/under record in SMU games is 12-16, and today’s line of 152.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games (144.8). So far, 22 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 150 points, and their OU record in their last 10 games is 5-5.

In their recent game, the Mustangs’ offense concluded with 73 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 77.1 points per contest. The top scorer for the Mustangs was Zhuric Phelps with 18 points, while Jalen Smith also chipped in with 15 points.

SMU’s defense has been playing well, ranking 60th nationally, with 67.4 points allowed per game. The SMU defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 77 points and allowed UTSA to connect on 9 threes.

Can UAB Pull Out the Win as Home Favorites?

UAB is favored by 1.5 points in today’s game against SMU. So far this season, the Blazers have been favored in 17 games, going 11-6 in those matchups.

UAB has been a much better team at home this season, going 11-5 compared to 7-6 on the road. They come into today’s game with a two-game losing streak at home, but they are still 8-2 in their last ten games at home.

When looking at UAB’s ATS record this season, they are currently 16-12-1. At home, the Blazers have gone 8-7-1 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, UAB has a mark of 5-4-1.

UAB’s over/under record for the season is 17-12, and the average scoring total in their games is 153.4. Today’s over/under line of 152.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games (148.9). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1, and the average scoring total in those games is 168 points.

UAB’s offense is coming off a strong performance vs. Temple, finishing the game with a total of 100 points. Their season average is now 77.4 points per game. The top scorer for the Blazers was Yaxel Lendenborg with 19 points, while Christian Coleman also chipped in with 19 points.

As they prepare for the upcoming game, UAB is focused on shoring up their defense, as they are currently allowing an average of 75.9 points per game (267th). In terms of field goal percentage allowed, UAB’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 43.9% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 34.5% this season.