This week’s 1 CFB showdown between the Mustangs and Eagles can be found on ESPN at 11:00 (12/28/23). The game will be held at Fenway Park in Boston (MA). SMU comes into this non-conference matchup with the Eagles, as the 10.5 point road favorite. Keep reading to get my recommendations on what angles to take for your bets.

SMU MUSTANGS VS BOSTON COLLEGE EAGLES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Boston College Eagles +10.5

This game will be played at Fenway Park at 11:00 ET on Thursday, December 28th.

WHY BET THE BOSTON COLLEGE EAGLES:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 31-21 in favor of SMU.
  • Even though we have SMU winning straight-up, we like Boston College at +10.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 51.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 52 points.

Is It the Mustangs Game to Lose on the Road?

So far, the SMU Mustangs are 11-2, including going 5-2 on the road and 6-0 at home.

Against the spread, SMU has gone 8-5 this season. The Mustangs have been favored 10 times compared to three games as the underdog.

Over the course of 13 games, the average over/under line in SMU’s matchups has been 58.2 points. These games have had an average combined score of 58 points, leading to an OU record of 6-7.

SMU comes into the game with an offense averaging 40.6, which places them at 4th in the NCAA rankings. Their passing game has them ranked 10th nationally, with an average of 285.6 passing yards. In the rushing department, they’re 17th in the nation, with 511 rushing attempts per game for the season.

The Mustangs defense will take the field with 47 sacks and are 1st QB hurries. When it comes to points allowed, they’re at 17.4 points per game (63rd). Against the pass, the team is 38th in the NCAA, allowing 188.4 passing yards per game. Additionally, SMU’s run defense has 111.6 rushing yards per contest.

Will the Eagles Make it Happen at Home?

So far, the Boston College Eagles are 6-6, including going 3-2 on the road and 2-3 at home.

Boston College’s average scoring differential for the season is -4.5 leading to an ATS mark of 4-6. The Eagles have been favored three times and the underdog in seven games

In 12 games played, the average over/under line for Boston College’s games has been set at 49.7 points. These contests have seen an average combined score of 54.5 points, resulting in an OU record of 6-4.

Heading into their matchup vs. SMU, the Eagles’ offense is averaging 194.2 rushing yards per game, along with 4 yards per attempt. They currently hold the 21st rank in rushing yards and 104th rank in passing yards, amassing an average of 189.2 yards per game. In terms of scoring, Boston College is at 25 points per game, which is 68th in the NCAA.

Coming into their matchup vs. SMU, the Boston College defense is 124th in points allowed, giving up 29.5 points per game. So far, opponents have averaged 197.4 passing yards per game against them (47th in the country). Against the run, they’re allowing 194 rushing yards, which ranks them 154th in college football.