The Spartans and Wolf Pack are set to face off at 11:00 ET on FS1. The Wolf Pack will host the game at Lawlor Events Center in Reno, NV. The odds for this Mountain West conference game currently have Nevada as the -12 point favorite with the over/under line sitting at 142.5 points.
SAN JOSE STATE SPARTANS VS NEVADA WOLF PACK BETTING PICK
The Pick: San Jose State Spartans +12
This game will be played at Lawlor Events Center at 11:00 ET on Friday, February 2nd.
WHY BET THE SAN JOSE STATE SPARTANS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Wolf Pack.
- Even though we have Nevada winning straight-up, we like San Jose State at +12.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 142.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.
Do the Spartans Have What it Takes on the Road?
San Jose State enters this game as a +12 underdog, and the team has gone 3-10 in 13 games as the underdog this season. The Spartans are coming off an 82-61 loss to Utah State, and they have dropped four straight games to fall to 8-13 on the season.
On the road this year, San Jose State has gone 2-7, and the team’s average scoring margin is -4.3 points per game. Over the last 10 road games, the Spartans are just 2-8.
As the underdog this season, San Jose State has gone 6-7 vs. the spread. On the road, their ATS mark is 4-5 this year and they are 2-3 vs. the spread in their last 5 road games. Over their last 10 road games, the Spartans have a 4-6 ATS record.
San Jose State’s over/under record this season is 14-5 and the average scoring total in their games is 147.8 points. Today’s over/under line of 142.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games (138.6). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 151 points and their OU record during this stretch is 1-2. On the season, 13 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line.
The San Jose State offense is coming off a game in which they scored 61 points vs. Utah State. Overall their field goal percentage was 39.3% while connecting on 5 threes. Myron Amey Jr. was the leading scorer for the Spartans, putting up 14 points. In addition, Alvaro Cardenas Torre contributed 11 points.
Coming into today’s game, the San Jose State defense is giving up an average of 74.5 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, San Jose State’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 45.3% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 35.0% this season.
Will the Wolf Pack Win at Home?
At home this season, Nevada has been nearly unbeatable, going 10-1 compared to a 6-4 record on the road. Their average scoring margin at home is +17.5 points per game, and they have gone 14-3 when favored. Over their last ten games at home, the Wolf Pack have gone 9-1.
Overall, Nevada has gone 16-5 this season and 3-4 in Mountain West play. In their last game, they lost to New Mexico by a score of 89-55. So far, they have played 21 games, going 13-1 in non-conference action.
As the favorite, Nevada’s ATS record this season is 10-7. Their ATS mark at home is 6-5 and they have gone 1-2 vs. the spread in their last 3 home games.
Today’s over/under line of 142.5 is right in line with the average OU line in Nevada’s games this season (143.6). So far, 13 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 158 points compared to their season average of 142 points per game.
Coming off their recent game, the Nevada offense tallied 55 points in a matchup against New Mexico. Their field goal percentage for the game was 33.9%, and they made 4 threes. For the season, the Nevada offense has been one of the more efficient shooting teams in the NCAA with a field goal percentage of 46%. So far, they have hit 53% of their looks from inside the arc, and are averaging 5.9 made three’s per contest.
Currently, the Wolf Pack’s defense holds the 56th rank in the nation, allowing 66.6 points per game. In their most recent game, the Nevada defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as New Mexico knocked down 11 three-pointers on their way to 89 points.