Looking to win big? The Toreros and Waves face off at 8:00 ET on ESPN+. The Waves are hosting the game at Firestone Fieldhouse in Malibu, CA. This West Coast conference matchup has an over/under of 152 points, and Pepperdine is favored to win by -6.5 at home vs. San Diego.


The Pick: Pepperdine Waves -6.5

This game will be played at Firestone Fieldhouse at 8:00 ET on Saturday, January 27th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-69 in favor of the Waves.
  • Not only will Pepperdine pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -6.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 152 points, and we like the under with a projected 146 points.

Will the Toreros Make it Happen on the Road?

San Diego will be looking to snap a four-game road losing streak when they take on Pepperdine on Thursday. The Toreros have gone just 1-4 on the road this season, and they have an average scoring margin of -16.0 points per game in those games.

Overall, San Diego is 11-10 this season, including a 1-6 mark in West Coast Conference action. They have been the underdog in 14 of their 21 games, going 5-9 in those games.

As the underdog, San Diego’s ATS record this season is 6-8. On the road, the Toreros are 1-4 vs. the spread. Their overall ATS mark for the year is 7-13.

San Diego’s over/under record this season is 13-7 and the average scoring total in their games is 151 points. Today’s over/under line of 152 is higher than the average OU line in their games (148.8). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 164 points and their OU record over their last three games is 3-0.

Coming off a good offensive performance, San Diego’s offense scored 85 points against Portland. Their field goal percentage for the game was 52.9%, and they went 19/21 from the free-throw line. Leading the team in scoring is Wayne McKinney II, who is averaging 14.6 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Deuce Turner also maintains a PPG average of 14.1 heading into game.

At this time, the Toreros’ defense is positioned 253rd in the country, permitting 76.7 points per game. Against Portland in their most recent game, the San Diego defense gave up a total of 81 points while allowing Portland to hit 51% of their shots.

Can Pepperdine Grab a Win at Home?

After losing their last game to Santa Clara by a score of 94-71, the Pepperdine Waves will be looking to snap their three-game losing streak. So far this season, they have gone 9-13.

Pepperdine has gone 6-6 at home, and their average scoring margin at home is +3.4. Over their last 10 games at home, they have gone 5-5. This season, they have been favored in eight games and have gone 6-2 in those matchups.

As the favorite, Pepperdine has gone 6-2 vs. the spread this season. At home, they are 6-6 ATS and their last 10 home ATS mark is 4-5. In their last 3 home games, the Waves are 1-2 vs. the spread and their mark vs. the spread as the favorite in their last 3 games is 2-1.

Pepperdine’s over/under record this season sits at 8-10-2 and the average scoring total in their games is 146.6 points. Today’s over/under line of 152 is higher than the average OU line in their games this year (150.7). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 146 points and their OU record during this span is 1-2. So far this season, 13 of their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line.

The Waves’ offense finished with 71 points in their previous game, mirroring their current average of 72 points per contest. Michael Ajayi is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 17.4 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Houston Mallette brings a PPG average of 15.5 into the game.

On the defensive side, Pepperdine is currently hovering around the NCAA’s average for points allowed, conceding an average of 73.8 points per game. Pepperdine’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the Santa Clara offense to knock down 58% of their shots on their way to putting up 94 points.