Betting on today’s Aztecs and Runnin’ Rebels game? Catch the action at Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas, NV, as the Runnin’ Rebels hosts this showdown at 5:30 ET on CBSS. San Diego State is favored by -4.5 in this Mountain West conference showdown. The game’s over/under is currently at 132.5 points.


The Pick: UNLV Runnin’ Rebels +4.5

This game will be played at Thomas & Mack Center at 5:30 ET on Thursday, March 14th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Runnin’ Rebels.
  • Not only will UNLV pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +4.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 132.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Can San Diego State Deliver Being Favored on the Road?

San Diego State is 22-9 on the year and 11-6 in Mountain West play. On the road, the Aztecs are just 6-8, but they have won their last 14 games at home.

For the season, San Diego State has been favored in 21 of its 31 games, going 18-3 in those contests. In their last 10 games away from home, the Aztecs are 4-6.

When looking at San Diego State’s ATS record this season, they are currently 12-16. In games where they have been favored, the Aztecs have gone 10-11 vs. the spread. Their road ATS mark is 4-10 this year and over their last 10 games as the favorite, they are 5-5.

San Diego State’s over/under record this season sits at 14-14 and the average over/under line in their games is 141.1. Today’s line of 132.5 is lower than the average scoring in their games this year of 140.8. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 137 points.

Against UNLV, the San Diego State had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 74.7 points per game. They scored 58 points and posted a field goal percentage of 28.1% in the game. Jaedon LeDee is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 20.5. Meanwhile, Reese Waters also brings a PPG average of 10.5 into the game.

In the current season, the San Diego State defense has excelled, sitting 36th in the nation by allowing 66.3 points per game. San Diego State will look once again to perform well on defense, holding UNLV to just 40% shooting in their most recent game.

Does UNLV Have a Shot at a Home Win?

UNLV enters this game as a 4.5-point underdog, and they have gone 5-6 in 11 games as the underdog this season. The Runnin’ Rebels are 10-7 at home this season, and they have gone 7-3 in their last 10 games at home.

Over their last three games at home, UNLV has gone 3-0, and they are coming off a 75-65 loss to Nevada. On the season, they have an overall record of 19-11, and they have gone 11-6 in Mountain West Conference play.

As the underdog, UNLV has been solid against the spread this season, going 8-3. At home, their ATS mark is 11-6 and over their last 10 games as the underdog, they are 8-2 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 132.5 is lower than the average over/under line in UNLV games this season (142.1). In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total in those games is 126 points.

The UNLV offense, in their latest game, managed to score just 65 points versus Nevada. During the game, they attempted 24 three-point shots and had a field goal percentage of 39%. The team’s top scorer is Dedan Thomas Jr., who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 13.6, while Kalib Boone also maintains a PPG average of 11.4 leading up to the game.

UNLV’s defense has been playing well, ranking 63rd nationally, with 67.6 points allowed per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.4 threes per game vs. San Diego State. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 30.5%.