There is no day off for the playoff participants in the MLB as we have Game 3 of the NLCS on Friday, October 21, and here you can see the best Padres vs. Phillies betting pick and odds.
San Diego and Philadelphia will play the third of a best-of-seven NLCS series at Citizens Bank Park, and the Padres are -115 moneyline favorites on Bovada Sportsbook, while the total is set at 7.5 runs. These conference rivals have met seven times before this playoff series, and the Phillies won four of those games. The current series is tied at 1-1.
Padres came from behind to get a win in Game 2
The San Diego Padres lost the opening game of the NLCS at home without scoring a single run in the process but responded with an 8-5 victory in Game 2 over the Philadelphia Phillies. The visitors got to an early 4-0 lead in the second inning, but the Padres answered with two runs in the bottom 2nd and then added five more in the 5th.
Brandon Drury, Josh Bell, and Manny Machado hit a solo home run apiece, while Drury and Bell combined for five RBIs, leading their team to a precious victory. San Diego had 13 hits opposite Philadelphia’s eight, and these three players were the only Padres with multi-hit displays. Blake Snell was credited with a win despite allowing four runs on five hits with six strikeouts and a walk over 5.0 innings. Josh Hader earned the fourth save of the postseason.
Joe Musgrove (10-7, 1-0 in the playoffs) will start for the Padres in Game 3 of the NLCS in Philadelphia on Friday. The 29-year-old right-hander started 30 games this season and owns a 2.93 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, and 184/42 K/BB ratio across 181.0 innings.
Phillies couldn’t hold the lead and succumbed to a defeat in San Diego
After a fantastic defensive showing in Game 1 of the NLCS against the San Diego Padres on the road, the Philadelphia Phillies allowed eight runs in an 8-5 Game 2 defeat. Still, the Phillies have to be content with the way they played, and with one win in the bag, and now they have a home-field advantage.
Alec Bohm, Matt Vierling, Edmundo Sosa, and Kyle Schwarber all chipped in an RBI in the second inning, while Rhys Hoskins hit a solo home run in the 8th, but it was too late to make a comeback. Aaron Nola was torched for six runs on seven hits with six strikeouts and no walks in 4.2 innings. It was a disappointing performance from Philly’s ace, and if an opportunity arises again in the playoffs, there is no doubt he will be eager to bounce back.
Ranger Suarez (10-7) will get on the hill for the Phillies in Game 3 of the NLCS against San Diego on Friday. The 27-year-old left-hander had 29 starts this year and carries a 3.65 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, and 129/58 K/BB ratio in 155.1 innings of work.
- 5-2 in the last seven games vs. a left-handed starter
- 8-3 in the last 11 road games
- 12-3 in the last 15 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5
- 1-4 in the last five vs. National League West rivals
- 1-4 in the last five after allowing five runs or more in their previous game
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies Pick
Joe Musgrove started two playoff games and was excellent in both, allowing two runs in total with a magnificent 1.38 ERA across 13.0 innings. However, he didn’t enjoy the best of starts in his lone appearance against Philadelphia this year as he registered a 9.00 ERA in 6.0 innings in a loss. On the other hand, Ranger Suarez got a win in his lone start against the Padres and had a 2.45 ERA in 7.1 innings. Despite Suarez’s better numbers in this H2H matchup, I am going with the Padres, who played very well on the road recently, better than in San Diego.
Pick: Take the Padres to win (-115)
Both starters have more than decent numbers against opposing batters. Suarez allows just a .170 against the Padres in 47 at-bats, while Musgrove is allowing .211 to the Phillies in 95 at-bats. I am backing them to have quality starts in this one and allow no more than three or four runs combined. Under is 12-5 in the last 17 H2H meetings; Under is 19-7-1 in the previous 27 H2H duels in Philadelphia, while Under is 4-1 in the Phillies’ last five after scoring five runs or more in their previous game.
Pick: Go Under 7.5 runs (-110)