Seth Lugo gets the start for the Padres (67-75, 28-39 away) against Cristian Javier and the Astros (80-62, 35-35 home). Today will be game two of their series, with the Padres leading 1-0. Check out who I like to see who comes out on top in today’s San Diego Padres vs. Houston Astros matchup.

SAN DIEGO PADRES VS HOUSTON ASTROS BETTING PICK

The Pick: San Diego Padres +111

This game will be played at Minute Maid Park at 7:10 ET on Saturday, September 9th.

WHY BET THE SAN DIEGO PADRES:

  • In their last five games, the Padres have a record of 3-2.
  • The Padres are already up 1-0 in this series vs. the Astros.
  • Over his last two starts, Seth Lugo has an ERA of just 1.50.

SAN DIEGO PADRES SEEK TO IMPROVE THEIR ROAD RECORD

Leading up to today’s game, the Padres are 4th in the NL West on a record of 67-75. Overall, they have played in 46 different series, going 18-23-5. When playing above .500 teams, the Padres are 67-75, and currently hold win percentages of 52.0% at home and 41.8% on the road.

Seth Lugo has been a steady presence in the Mets’ rotation this season, going at least six innings in four consecutive starts and boasting a 6-6 record. Through 22 appearances, he has posted an ERA of 3.49 and a WHIP of 1.20, along with a K/BB ratio of 117/27 and slugging percentage allowed of .400. Opposing batters have managed to hit just .247 against him this year.

Seth Lugo notched a victory and a quality start in his most recent outing, as the Mets blanked the Giants 4-0. The right-hander surrendered no runs and three hits over six frames.

Having gone deep 6 times in their last five games, the Padres are 8th in that span. At 4.6 runs per game, San Diego is 16th in the league. This figure has come on a team batting average of .240 while hitting a total of 180 home runs (11th).

Xander Bogaerts has been a force at the plate this season, boasting a .271 batting average and .417 slugging percentage. During the Padres’ last ten games, Bogaerts has been on fire, leading the team in hits with a .494 average.

WILL THE HOUSTON ASTROS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?

So far this season, Houston has played in 45 series, going 25-16-4. Their current record of 80-62 is good for first place in the AL West. On the road, the Astros have gone 45-27 compared to 35-35 at home.

Cristian Javier has been a reliable starter for the Astros this season, boasting an impressive 9-3 record. He has made 26 appearances and his ERA is 4.65, while his K/9 is 8.32. His FIP stands at 4.76 and his OBP is .301.

The Astros are hoping for another strong performance from Cristian Javier, who recently put in a quality start against the Yankees. Despite his efforts, which included six innings and three runs allowed, Houston still fell to New York 6-1.

For the season, the Astros’ offense is averaging 5.1 runs per game. Over their last five games they have swung the bats well, sitting 1st in the league in scoring, with a total of 42 runs. Overall, Houston’s team batting average is .260, putting them 4th in the MLB.

Kyle Tucker of the Astros is leading the team in home runs this season, boasting 26 long balls and 99 RBIs. His slugging percentage stands at a respectable .504, making him a formidable presence in the lineup.