The San Antonio Spurs (+395) head to Sacramento to take on the Kings (-526) in a Western Conference matchup. The Kings (35-26) are favored by 10.5 points and sit 7th in the West, while the Spurs (13-49) are 15th in the conference.

This game will tip off at 10:00 ET and can be seen on NBCS. The over/under line is currently set at 238 points.


The Pick: San Antonio Spurs +10.5

This game will be played at Golden 1 Center at 10:00 ET on Thursday, March 7th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 114-105 in favor of the Kings.
  • Our projections have De’Aaron Fox finishing with De’Aaron Fox points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Kings finishing with a field goal percentage of 47.4% and knocking down 15 threes.

Can the San Antonio Offense Score Enough on the Road?

San Antonio is 13-49 on the season and is currently in 15th place in the Western Conference. In the Southwest Division, they are in 5th place.

In games against Western Conference opponents, the Spurs are 8-27 and 1-10 against teams in their division. Their non-conference record is 5-22.

On the road, the Spurs are 6-28 this season, and they are 16-18 ATS. As the underdog, their ATS record is 26-31.

In their last game, the Spurs lost to the Rockets by a score of 114-101. They were 6.5-point underdogs going into the game. The O/U line for that game was 228.

This season, the Spurs have been the underdog in 57 of their 62 games. Their O/U record for the season is 31-30-1, and the under has hit in their last two games.

In Spurs games this season, the average combined scoring total is 232.4, which is lower than today’s O/U line of 238. On average, their games have had an O/U line of 233.9.

When it comes to scoring, the Spurs are 22nd in the league at 112.2 points per game. However, they are 25th in scoring on the road, averaging 109.6 points per contest.

San Antonio is one of the top teams in terms of pace, ranking 3rd in the NBA at 101.2 possessions per game. Despite their fast pace, the Spurs are just 25th in field goal percentage at 46%.

So far this season, the Spurs have been below the league average in scoring in 56.5% of their games. They are 16th in scoring at home but have struggled on the road.

Facing Sacramento, the Spurs aims for a better defensive performance, given their current average of 120.2 points allowed per game (25th). When it comes to forced turnovers, the Spurs are forcing 14.4 per game, which is 28th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 3rd in blocked shots at 6.3 per game.

Can the Kings Secure a Win at Home?

Sacramento is favored by 10.5 points today, and they have gone 9-11 straight up as the favorite this season. In their last two games as the favorite, they have lost straight up. Against the spread as the favorite, they are 19-22.

In the Western Conference, the Kings are in 7th place with a record of 35-26. In the Pacific Division, they are in 3rd place.

The Kings have won two straight games as the underdog and have an underdog record of 9-11 ATS. In their last game, they defeated the Lakers by a score of 130-120. The O/U line for that game was 239.5.

This season, Sacramento has an O/U record of 32-28-1, and their games have averaged 236.1 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 238.

On the season, the Kings are 11-16 against the spread at home and have failed to cover in their last three games at home. Their straight-up home record is 16-11, and they have an average scoring differential of +0.6 points per game.

At home, the Kings are averaging 121.1 points per game, which is 7th in the NBA. Overall, they are 8th in the league at 118.2 points per game. Sacramento is also 10th in pace at 100 possessions per game.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Kings are 4th in both attempts and makes. However, they are just 13th in three-point shooting percentage at 37%. Sacramento’s overall field goal percentage is 48%, which is 11th in the NBA.

So far, the Kings have outscored the NBA scoring average in 63.9% of their games. In terms of assists, Sacramento is 6th in the league at 28.7 per game.

Coming into the game, the Kings will be looking to improve their defense, as they are currently giving up 117.8 points per game (22nd). So far this season, the Kings’ defense has struggled with fouls, averaging 7th in fouls per contest. On average, opponents are getting to the line 23.2 times per game vs. Sacramento.