The Pirates and Mets are set to face off in an NL matchup at 1:10 PM ET on Wednesday. This one is being played at Citi Field in New York and features a Pirates club that is 11-7 compared to the Mets at 9-8. There does appear to be a chance of rain in New York on Wednesday.

SN PT is carrying TV coverage for Wednesday’s matchup, and the over/under line is currently at 8 runs. Luis Severino will go for the Mets, and he is facing off against Bailey Falter for the Pirates.

PITTSBURGH PIRATES VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates Moneyline +118

This game will be played at Citi Field at 1:10 ET on Wednesday, April 17th.

HOW TO BET THE PIRATES VS METS:

  • We have the Pirates winning by a score of 5 to 4
  • If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Pirates to cover
  • As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

New York picked up a 3-1 win over the Pirates in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a huge 7th inning, scoring all three of their runs. As for the Pirates, they scored their only run in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Mets were favored at -110.

Pete Alonso was the only player in the game to homer, going 2/4 with two RBIs. Jose Quintana pitched well for the Mets in this one, going five innings and giving up just one run. He finished with four strikeouts but issued three walks.

Jared Jones struggled on the mound for the Pirates, giving up seven runs in five innings of work. He did finish the game with seven strikeouts and didn’t give up a home run.

Pirates Records & Stats

Pittsburgh is currently on a two-game losing streak, coming into today’s game vs. the Mets. These two losses came in the final two games of their series with the Phillies. So far, the Pirates are 11-7 and are tied for the division lead with the Brewers.

On the road, the Pirates have gone 8-5 this season. They are also just above .500 at home, with a record of 3-2. Pittsburgh has yet to play a game in the NL Central so far. As the underdog, the Pirates are 9-5 this season compared to 2-2 as the favorite.

The Pirates have been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 12-6. They’ve been especially good on the road, where they are 9-4 against the run line. The Pirates have been a profitable play as the underdog, going 10-4 against the run line in those games.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have played 18 games this season, and the over/under line has been set at 8 runs for 13 of them. The over/under record for the Pirates this season is 10-8, and the combined run average for their games is 9.1 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, the Pirates have gone 2-1 in those games. Today’s over/under line for their game against the New York Mets is set at 8 runs.

Bailey Falter will be making his third start of the season for the Pirates, and he will be on the road against the Mets. In his first outing, he went 6 innings and didn’t allow an earned run, but he did give up 6 runs and took a no-decision. He followed that up by picking up a win against the Phillies, going 5 innings and striking out 3.

Looking at the Pirates’ offensive projections for today, we have Oneil Cruz as our top projected hitter in terms of total hits and home runs. His home run projection is 3rd best in the league today. Ke’Bryan Hayes also has a strong total hits projection, as he is 4th in the league in that category. Bryan Reynolds is our 2nd best Pirates hitter in terms of total hits, and his home run projection is 6th best in the league today.

Mets Records & Stats

With an overall record of 9-8, the Mets are on a three-game winning streak, winning the final three games of their series with the Royals and Pirates. In the NL East, they are 2.5 games behind the Braves and are in 3rd place heading into today’s game.

At home, the Mets are just below .500 at 5-6, and they have been good on the road at 4-2. New York has won two straight games as the favorite and is 5-6 when favored this season. As the underdog, which they are today, they are 4-2 so far.

When the Mets win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.1 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -2.8 runs per game. Their overall run line record is 9-8, but they are 5-1 on the run line on the road. They are 4-7 on the run line at home.

The Mets’ over/under record for the season is 8-9, and their average over/under line is 8 runs. In their last 10 games, the over/under line has been set at 8 runs or higher in 59% of their games. Their combined run average for the season is 8.8 runs per game, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8 runs is 0-1.

Luis Severino is on the mound for the Mets, as they take on the Pirates. Severino has started 3 games this season and is coming off a win in his last outing, where he went 5 innings and struck out 4. He has 11 strikeouts in 10 innings of work this season.

When looking at the Mets’ hitting projections for today’s game, Brandon Nimmo has the highest total hits projection on the team and the 19th best in the league. Pete Alonso has the highest home run projection on the team and the 6th best in the league. Starling Marte has the 2nd highest total hits projection on the team and the 25th best in the league. If you’re looking for a Mets player to hit a home run, Francisco Alvarez has the 2nd best odds on the team and the 10th best in the league.