At 7:30 ET, the Dallas Mavericks (-146) will host the Phoenix Suns (+121) in a Western Conference matchup. The Mavericks are favored by 2.5 in a game that will be televised on TNT.

Phoenix is currently 5th in the West, while Dallas is 7th. The Suns have won two straight, while the Mavericks have won six in a row.


The Pick: Dallas Mavericks -2.5

This game will be played at American Airlines Center at 7:30 ET on Thursday, February 22nd.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 157-145 in favor of the Mavericks.
  • Our projections have Luka Doncic finishing with Luka Doncic points, 8 rebounds and 9 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Mavericks finishing with a field goal percentage of 49.2% and knocking down 18 threes.

Is an Upset Waiting to Happen on the Road?

Phoenix has won two straight games as the underdog and is 5-8 straight-up as the underdog this season. As the underdog, they have a scoring differential of -3.8 points per game. Today, they are getting 2.5 points.

The Suns’ ATS record for the season is 23-31, and they have covered the spread in their last two games. On the road, they are 12-14 ATS compared to 11-17 ATS at home.

In terms of their O/U record, the Suns are 27-28 this season. In their last game against the Pistons, the final score was 116-100, which was well under the O/U line of 238.5.

Phoenix’s O/U record for the season is 27-28, and 50 of their games have had lower over/under lines than today’s line of 244.5. On average, their games have finished with 231.9 points.

The Suns are 33-22 on the season and are currently 5th in the Western Conference. In non-conference games, they are 14-7 and 19-15 against other Western Conference teams.

So far this season, the Suns are 12th in the NBA in scoring at 117.6 points per game. Interestingly, they are averaging the same number of points whether they are playing at home or on the road. In terms of pace, Phoenix is 15th in the league at 98.5 possessions per game.

When it comes to shooting, the Suns are one of the best teams in the NBA. They are 3rd in field goal percentage at 49%, and they are 3rd in true shooting percentage. Inside the arc, Phoenix is 6th in two-point shooting at 56%.

From beyond the arc, the Suns are 7th in three-point shooting at 37%. However, they are just 22nd in three-point makes per game. Overall, they are 14th in assists, and they are 24th in offensive rebounds.

At present, the Suns’ defense is ranked 15th, allowing 114.3 points per game. Most recently, the Suns’ defense put together a solid performance, giving up just 100 points to the Pistons.

Will the Mavericks Win at Home?

The Mavericks have won six straight games and are favored by 2.5 points today. In the Western Conference, they are in 7th place with a record of 32-23.

Dallas has a 29-26 record against the spread this season, going 13-17 at home and 16-9 on the road. Their ATS win streak on the road is at three games.

This year, the Mavericks have been favored in 31 of their 55 games and have a record of 23-8 in those games. As the favorite, they are 19-12 against the spread.

In their last game, the Mavericks beat the Spurs by a score of 116-93. They were favored by 11.5 points in that game and covered the spread. The O/U line for that game was 243 points.

In the Mavericks’ games this season, the average combined scoring total is 235.9 points. Today’s O/U line is set at 244.5, and their games have averaged 235.7 points.

Dallas’ O/U record for the season is 28-27, and the under has hit in their last two games.

When it comes to scoring, the Mavericks are one of the most prolific three-point shooting teams in the league, ranking 3rd in made threes per game. On average, they make 15 threes per contest, but they are also 2nd in three-point attempts at 40.3 per game. Overall, Dallas is 7th in scoring at 118.7 points per game.

At home, the Mavericks are averaging 120.4 points per game, which is 8th in the NBA. In terms of pace, Dallas is 11th in the league at 99.8 possessions per game. So far, they have outscored the NBA scoring average in 58.2% of their games.

When it comes to shooting efficiency, the Mavericks are 13th in field goal percentage at 47%. Inside the arc, they are 8th in two-point shooting at 56%. However, Dallas is just 22nd in offensive rebounds and 22nd in assists.

The Mavericks’ defense is presently ranked 19th in the league, allowing an average of 117.2 points per contest. In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Mavericks defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 55.6% while allowing 36.4% from downtown.