The Phillies head into Saturday’s matchup vs. the Padres looking to move to 18-10, and they are sending Ranger Suarez to the mound vs. a San Diego club that is 14-15 and starting Dylan Cease. First pitch from PETCO Park is set for 8:40 PM ET.

Philadelphia is the slight favorite on the money line at -105, and the over/under line is at 7.5 runs. Looking at the odds, the under is paying out at -117 compared to -104 for the over.

SAN DIEGO PADRES VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK

The Pick: San Diego Padres Moneyline -115

This game will be played at PETCO Park at 8:40 ET on Saturday, April 27th.

HOW TO BET THE PHILLIES VS PADRES:

  • We have the Padres winning by a score of 5 to 4
  • If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Padres to cover
  • As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Philadelphia cruised to a 9-3 win over the Padres in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a huge 3rd inning, scoring four of their nine runs. As for the Padres, they scored their only three runs in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -114.

Aaron Nola got the win for the Phillies, going eight innings and giving up just three earned runs. He finished the game with 10 strikeouts but issued a rare five walks. Joe Musgrove had a rough outing for the Padres, taking the loss after going just 3 2/3 innings and giving up seven earned runs.

At the plate, the Phillies were led by Brandon Marsh, who went 3/5 with a home run. J.T. Realmuto and Bryce Harper each drove in two for Philadelphia’s offense. As for the Padres, Graham Pauley hit the game’s only other home run and drove in two runs.

Phillies Records & Stats

Philadelphia is on the road today vs. the Padres, and they are 17-10 overall, which has them 2nd in the NL East, 2.5 games behind the Braves for the division lead. The Phillies won the final game of their series vs. the Reds and have taken the first game of this series vs. the Padres.

The Phillies have been good at home, going 10-6 this year, and they are 7-4 on the road. As the favorite, the Phillies are 15-7 and 2-3 as the underdog. Their overall series record is 4-2-2 this year.

When the Phillies are on the road, they are a good bet to cover the run line, as they are 6-5 in that department. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 13-14 overall. They are 11-11 when favored and 2-3 when the underdog. Their average run differential is +0.7 runs per game.

The Phillies have played in 19 games this season with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs, and the over has hit in 11 of those games. Their games have averaged a combined 8.3 runs per game this season, and the over/under line for their games has averaged 8 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs, the over has gone 2-5 in those games. Today’s line is set at 7.5 runs.

Ranger Suárez has been dominant in his first three starts of the season, picking up wins in each outing. He has gone at least six innings in each start, and he is coming off a 7-inning outing against the Reds in which he struck out five and allowed just two hits. Suárez has yet to allow an earned run this season.

Heading into today’s game, Alec Bohm is on a 10-game hitting streak and is batting .347 for the season. Over his last eight games, Bohm has gone 18/33 with two homers and 11 RBIs. Kyle Schwarber is also near the top of the league in home runs, but he is hitting just .198 this season and has gone only 3/27 in his last eight games.

As a team, the Phillies are 3rd in home runs and have the 6th best team batting average in the league. Overall, they are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. At home, they are averaging 4.8 runs per contest, which is 9th best in the league.

Padres Records & Stats

San Diego is hosting the Phillies today with an overall record of 14-15, and they are 3rd in the NL West, which is where they trail the Dodgers by 3.5 games for the division lead. The Padres lost the final game of their series vs. the Rockies and then dropped the series opener vs. the Phillies.

At home, the Padres are 6-9 this year compared to an 8-6 mark on the road. So far, they have really struggled as the home underdog, going 0-4 this year. As the underdog in general, the Padres are 5-8, and they have lost four straight games as the underdog.

The Padres have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 15-14 overall. They have been especially profitable on the road, going 11-3 against the run line. However, they have struggled at home, going just 4-11 against the run line. In games they have won, they are outscoring their opponents by an average of 3.4 runs per game, while in losses, they are being outscored by an average of 3.0 runs per game.

The San Diego Padres have had a high-scoring season so far, with an average of 9.7 runs per game. Their over/under record is 15-13, with an average line of 8 runs per game. When the line has been set at 7.5 runs, they have gone over 5 times and under 3 times. Their games have had an over/under line of 7.5 runs in 72.4% of their games, and their over streak is at 2 games.

Dylan Cease has been off to a great start to the season, picking up wins in each of his first three starts. He has been very effective, as he has yet to allow more than two runs in a start. In his last outing, he went seven innings and struck out eight while giving up just one run on one hit.

San Diego comes into the game as one of the league’s top offenses, averaging 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, putting up 5.2 runs per contest. The Padres have been a good home run hitting team so far, and they also have a collective batting average of .257, which is 5th in the league.

Jurickson Profar has been one of the Padres’ top hitters this season, batting .293 with a team-leading 18 RBIs. He is also 3rd on the team with three home runs. Profar has also been swinging a hot bat of late, as he is 9/35 in his last 10 games with two homers. Ha-Seong Kim has also gone deep twice in his last 10 games, but he is batting just .233 for the season.