At 9:40 PM from PETCO Park in San Diego, we have an NL matchup between the Phillies and Padres. Heading into Friday’s game, the Phillies are 16-10, while the Padres are 14-14. Joe Musgrove is starting for the Padres, and he is facing off against Aaron Nola for the Phillies.

Philadelphia comes into this one as the slight favorite, and the over/under line is sitting at 7.5 runs. If you’re looking to watch this one on TV, it is being carried by Bally Sports San Diego and NBC Sports Philadelphia.

SAN DIEGO PADRES VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK

The Pick: San Diego Padres Moneyline -107

This game will be played at PETCO Park at 9:40 ET on Friday, April 26th.

HOW TO BET THE PHILLIES VS PADRES:

  • We have the Padres winning by a score of 5 to 4
  • If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Padres to cover
  • As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Phillies Records & Stats

Bryce Harper and the Phillies are coming off a big game to close out their series vs. the Reds. Harper went 2/3 with a homer and two RBIs. The Phillies really broke things open with a four-run 3rd inning. Going into the game, the Phillies were the heavy favorite at -181.

Zack Wheeler started for the Phillies, going six innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out eight Reds batters. Philadelphia’s bullpen closed things out with three scoreless innings, and the Phillies picked up a json5-0 win.

Philadelphia is 16-10 overall this season, and they are 2nd in the NL East, 2.5 games behind the Braves for the division lead. The Phillies closed out their series with the Reds with a win and are still 4-2-2 in series this year. So far, they are just 3-3 in division games.

At home, the Phillies have gone 10-6 this year, and they are 6-4 on the road. Philadelphia has been really good in night games, going 10-4 this year. As the favorite, the Phillies are 14-7, and they are 2-3 as the underdog.

Philadelphia is 12-14 against the run line this season, with an average run differential of +0.5 runs per game. The Phillies have been a better bet on the road, going 5-5 against the run line, compared to 7-9 at home. They have been the favorite in 21 games, going 10-11 against the run line. Their average run differential in wins is +3.6 runs per game, compared to -4.4 runs per game in losses.

So far this season, the Phillies have played 25 games, and 19 of those games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs. Their games have averaged 8.2 runs per game, and their over/under record is 10-15. When the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs, the Phillies have gone 1-5 in those games. Their games have been averaging 8 runs per game, so the over/under line for their games has been set at 8 runs on average.

After starting the season with a win over the Nationals, Aaron Nola has picked up wins in each of his last two starts. He has gone 6 innings in each of those starts, and he has 16 strikeouts over his last 13 innings. Nola’s last start was a win over the White Sox, where he went 8 innings and allowed 2 runs.

Philadelphia comes into the game as one of the league’s top home run hitting teams, and they are also among the top 10 teams in baseball in terms of batting average. Overall, they are averaging 4.3 runs per game (14th) and have been even better at home, putting up 4.8 runs per contest. Heading into the game, Alec Bohm and Kyle Schwarber are tied for 1st on the team with six homers apiece. Bohm has been on fire of late, going 16/31 in his last eight games with two homers and 11 RBIs.

Over the past eight games, Trea Turner is hitting .389 for the Phillies, and he also has one home run during this stretch. Bryce Harper has gone deep five times this season, but he is hitting just .256 for the season. Harper is also on a seven-game hitting streak. Schwarber is also on a streak, as he has homered in three straight games.

Padres Records & Stats

The Padres will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Rockies with a 10-9 loss. San Diego was the heavy favorite on the money line going into the game but fell behind big early, as the Rockies scored three times in the 2nd and added another three runs in the 3rd. The Padres’s offense scored a run to tie things up in the 3rd but couldn Rockies went on to score another four runs in the 4th to put things out of reach. San Diego’s comeback attempt fell short, as they could only score one run in the 8th.

Randy Vasquez got the start for the Padres and took the loss. He only lasted 2 2/3 innings, giving up four earned runs on six hits. Jurickson Profar had a big game at thejson plate, going 2/4 with a homer and three RBIs.

San Diego will be hosting the Phillies today with an overall record of 14-14, which has them 2.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Padres lost the first game of their series vs. the Rockies but bounced back to win the final game of the series. So far, they are 8-6 on the road compared to 6-8 at home.

As the underdog, the Padres have dropped three straight, and they are 0-3 as the home underdog this year. Their overall series record is 4-4-2 heading into today’s game vs. the Phillies.

San Diego has been a solid run line bet overall this season, but they have been much better on the road, where they are 11-3. They have been a run line underdog in 12 games, and they have covered in eight of those contests. The Padres have been favored 16 times, and they have gone 7-9 in those games.

The Padres have had a high-scoring season so far, with a combined average of 9.6 runs per game. Their over/under record is 14-13, and their average over/under line is 8.0 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs, their record is 4-3, and 75% of their games have had higher lines than that. In their last 10 games, the over/under record is 5-5, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs in 3 of those games.

San Diego is sending Joe Musgrove to the mound today vs. the Phillies, and he has made six starts this year. Musgrove’s ERA is 5.75, and he has a record of 3-2. The right-hander has a WHIP of 1.53 and has allowed a total of five home runs this year. In his last outing, Musgrove gave up three earned runs in seven innings of work. He did come away with the win in that outing. Musgrove has turned in three quality starts this year. His ERA at home is 5.18, compared to 10.69 on the road.

Heading into today’s game, the Padres are 9th in the league in scoring at 5 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. Overall, they are 5th in the league in home runs and have a team batting average of .259, which is also 5th in the league. The Padres come into the game with the league’s 4th best on-base percentage and have the 7th best slugging percentage in the league.

Jurickson Profar and Ha-Seong Kim have been swinging the bat well for the Padres of late, with each player having one home run in their last six games. Profar is 4/16 in that stretch, while Kim is 6/23. Kim also has five RBIs in his last six games. Xander Bogaerts has also been hot of late, going 9/26 in his last six games, including one home run and four RBIs.