The 2022 MLB season continues Sunday, May 1, with the NL East showdown at Citi Field in New York, so we have prepared the best Phillies vs. Mets betting pick along with the latest odds update on BetOnline Sportsbook. 

Philadelphia and New York will close down a three-game series, their second of the season. The Mets have won two of their three encounters with the Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. They won the opener of this set last Friday, 3-0, while the middle contest has been excluded from the analysis. 

The Phillies couldn’t get a hit in the opening game                             

The Philadelphia Phillies dropped to 10-11 on the season following Friday’s nightmare at Citi Field. They drew six walks but couldn’t get a single hit against the Mets’ pitching staff. On the pitching side of things, Aaron Nola yielded three earned runs on seven hits while punching out nine across six frames of work. 

The Phillies put an end to their four-game winning streak. They beat Colorado 7-1 last Thursday to sweep a four-game series at home, outscoring the Rockies 32-9 in the process. Back on Tuesday, Zach Eflin threw six innings of a one-run ball in a 10-3 thrashing of the Rockies. 

Eflin will take the hill Sunday in New York. The 28-year-old righty is 1-1 with a 3.20 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, 3.00 FIP, and 15/4 K/BB ratio through his first four starts in 2022 (19.2 innings pitched). Eflin has gone 0-2 with a pedestrian 5.14 ERA in six career starts (28 frames) at Citi Field. 

The Mets continue to impress       

The New York Mets’ pitching staff threw a 159-pitch gem in Friday’s opener. Tylor Megill and four relievers combined on the first no-hitter of the 2022 MLB season and the second in franchise history. The Mets improved to 15-6 on the season, boasting the best record in baseball. 

New York lowered its ERA to 2.79. The Mets’ starting rotation has been terrific thus far, posting an 11-3 record to go with a 2.55 ERA, 0.90 WHIP, and .183 batting average against. On the other side of the ball, the Mets have recorded a .261/.343/.395 triple-slash (.232/.308/.370 league average). 

Max Scherzer will toe the rubber Sunday, searching for his second win against Phila in 2022. The 37-year-old right-hander threw five innings of a one-run ball in a 9-6 road victory over the Phillies on April 13. Scherzer has recorded ten strikeouts and 21 outs in each of his previous two starts, surrendering only one earned run in the process. He’s 3-0 with a shiny 1.80 ERA and 33/8 K/BB ratio across 25 frames in 2022. 

Trends:

Philadelphia: 

  • 3-12 in the last 15 games on the road   

NY Mets:

  • 9-3 in the last 12 games overall   
  • 5-1 in the last six games at home 

Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets Pick 

The Mets look like a well-rounded team and with Max Scherzer on the mound, they should beat the Phillies once again. Keep your eyes on Starling Marte, who’s 7-for-11 with five doubles and one home run against Zach Eflin. 

The current Phillies are slashing only .134/.197/.209 with six homers, 21 walks, and 84 strikeouts in 233 at-bats against Scherzer. Mad Max has gone 4-0 in five starts against the Phillies over the last two years. 

Pick: Take New York Mets at -175                   

The Total:

Both bullpens have done a great job over the last ten days. New York’s ‘pen has recorded a 2.67 ERA while striking out 12.5 per nine innings. On the other side, the Phillies’ relief pitching has posted a 2.57 ERA, 3.20 FIP, and 9.9 K/9. 

Betting on the under seems like a logical choice. However, I don’t feel comfortable with a 7-run line, as you never know what can happen down the stretch. The under backers will hope for another strong performance by the Mets’ pitching staff. 

Pick: Go under 7.0 runs at -115